MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb500ec5edd7dd018217cacc8e9c3dff6feb4680cf33ae3eb02019477e724f477

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,163 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	65c	47,487$30,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,599.05	1,478	51%754 W · 724 L	-19.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over	34c	24,744$8,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,375.57	238	37.8%90 W · 148 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	66c	24,076$15,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,268.28	11,653	52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L	+214.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f38…eb70backed Over	33c	13,680$4,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,514.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Over	34c	10,140$3,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,447.6	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Over	34c	7,374$2,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over	34c	6,251$2,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125.18	901	49.1%442 W · 459 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over	34c	6,026$2,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,048.77	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	67c	6,000$4,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,980	510	52.5%268 W · 242 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	66c	5,772$3,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,962.41	1,604	48.6%779 W · 825 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02c5…c13abacked Over	37c	4,935$1,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.93	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	36c	4,026$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.33	7,078	50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	66c	3,876$2,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.09	4,534	49%2,220 W · 2,314 L	-41.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	35c	3,557$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.14	1,697	49.1%834 W · 863 L	+3.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	42c	2,048$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.16	2,327	51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L	+26.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	36c	1,956$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.54	2,372	49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L	+40.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	33c	1,255$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.17	491	46.4%228 W · 263 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	33c	1,254$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.68	908	46.5%422 W · 486 L	+27.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	26c	1,238$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.69	3,139	48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L	-10.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	75c	1,205$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.25	4,120	57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L	+67.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	35c	1,131$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.81	1,906	49.3%940 W · 966 L	+25.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	34c	1,070$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.8	492	45.9%226 W · 266 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	59c	1,017$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.95	663	50.2%333 W · 330 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	38c	929.19$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.07	1,018	25.2%257 W · 761 L	-67.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under	65c	721.23$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.06	384	49%188 W · 196 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over	36c	628.27$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.73	747	52.5%392 W · 355 L	+17.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…bf33backed Under	67c	567.69$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.15	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	1,855	50.6%939 W · 916 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	718	44.3%318 W · 400 L	-25.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Over	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	41c	490.85$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.25	8,484	47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L	+79.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	35c	443$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.56	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over	42c	415.87$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.39	486	50.2%244 W · 242 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over	35c	413.43$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.7	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	34c	389.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.74	1,939	44.5%862 W · 1,077 L	-29.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over	36c	285$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over	41c	256$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	150	53.3%80 W · 70 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	33c	235.49$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.71	5,567	50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L	+25.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Under	66c	231.09$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc221…d938backed Under	66c	212.12$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.12	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.30per pick	56cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	164	48.2%79 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9f…10cabacked Under	67c	194.03$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.03	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	26c	184.04$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.46	8,682	52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L	+505.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f9…27c8backed Under	66c	139.51$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.94	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under	79c	125$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	1,267	58.5%741 W · 526 L	+26.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under	76c	119.04$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.57	533	57.6%307 W · 226 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over	35c	113.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	154	51.3%79 W · 75 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under	66c	105$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.05	312	47.8%149 W · 163 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under	66c	103.03$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.03	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Under	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	114	55.3%63 W · 51 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	557	47.2%263 W · 294 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	36c	81.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x451c…ce4ebacked Over	34c	81$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	34c	80$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	38c	77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	918	48.5%445 W · 473 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Over	35c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	36c	72.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	394	53.6%211 W · 183 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	20c	72.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	5,861	43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L	-190.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	19c	71.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	944	56.5%533 W · 411 L	+32.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	39c	66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	3,866	42.3%1,636 W · 2,230 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under	80c	65$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	462	58%268 W · 194 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Under	80c	65$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	608	59.2%360 W · 248 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	40c	59.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	940	69.3%651 W · 289 L	+93.5wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+14%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	20c	59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	1,975	41.3%815 W · 1,160 L	-27.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41cf…8268backed Under	68c	58.82$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	140	58.6%82 W · 58 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under	67c	55$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	243	49.4%120 W · 123 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	65c	54.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.99	1,877	50.2%943 W · 934 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	2,444	50.1%1,225 W · 1,219 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+6.9wins	+0.14per pick	37cpaid	+166.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Over	37c	48.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Under	66c	47$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	32c	46.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	8,304	46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfeed…3aecbacked Under	65c	43.4$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f7c…34e7backed Over	42c	38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f68…d0f9backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Under	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.17	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	423	48.2%204 W · 219 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under	68c	24.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	58cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…e969backed Under	76c	20.47$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.82	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under	66c	20.23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	357	48.5%173 W · 184 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaae2…2383backed Under	77c	18.4$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5this page
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 2.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 3.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event