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MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under51c264,687$134,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,271.861,44949.5%717 W · 732 L-3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c80,738$38,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,874.774,42747.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L-77.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over48c60,864$29,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,238.0590149.1%442 W · 459 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c37,656$20,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,492.3511,10251.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L+135.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c27,755$13,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,720.1311,65352.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L+214.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over48c13,582$6,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,519.3444846.7%209 W · 239 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over48c12,710$6,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100.5775350.6%381 W · 372 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c6,543$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.517,07850.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L+1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c5,769$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7691,60448.6%779 W · 825 L-2.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c5,234$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.18,30446.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,08848.3%525 W · 563 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over49c4,249$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.181,69749.1%834 W · 863 L+3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44050351.9%261 W · 242 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c2,748$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.423,56251%1,817 W · 1,745 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over48c1,850$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0438449%188 W · 196 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72046451.1%237 W · 227 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over48c1,201$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.596662.1%41 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over43c1,033$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.533,13948.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L-10.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325,56750.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L+25.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over8c864.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1617442%73 W · 101 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c803.56$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.469,89146.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L+40.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over56c793.98$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.631,87750.2%943 W · 934 L-6.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over11c674$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1418855.9%105 W · 83 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2885950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under51c592.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.37054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under51c519$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3184342.9%362 W · 481 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,85550.6%939 W · 916 L-6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23571844.3%318 W · 400 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c458$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.421,47851%754 W · 724 L-19.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Over50c441.87$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.944852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c416.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20458153%308 W · 273 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…4f02backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over49c354.08$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.528254.3%153 W · 129 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over49c342.19$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.774752.5%392 W · 355 L+17.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over48c342$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1648650.2%244 W · 242 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f9…27c8backed Over57c329.61$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016345.4%74 W · 89 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538,48447.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L+79.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under77c278$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.943,23151.2%1,655 W · 1,576 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over23c278$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9415024.7%37 W · 113 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Over50c268.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under51c217.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2711346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038653.6%207 W · 179 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011145%50 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…2fbabacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005054%27 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,45249.9%725 W · 727 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616448.2%79 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Over11c183.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.245151%26 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+166.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over11c182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.024,44545%2,001 W · 2,444 L+87.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.449244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under65c143.48$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.222,07739.3%817 W · 1,260 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over11c138.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191,97541.3%815 W · 1,160 L-27.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.172,37249.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.08955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over49c119.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7136052.2%188 W · 172 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b66…8501backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c100.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,93944.5%862 W · 1,077 L-29.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over49c99.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.839451.5%203 W · 191 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155335.8%19 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c90.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.763,03648%1,458 W · 1,578 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2391848.5%445 W · 473 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under52c85.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5931247.8%149 W · 163 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over48c80.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6943951.5%226 W · 213 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7237251.6%192 W · 180 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0444149%216 W · 225 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Over48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.29149.5%45 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under52c60.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1433846.7%158 W · 180 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2647145.9%216 W · 255 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over48c49.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.698,68252.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L+505.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over50c47.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0115451.3%79 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under53c47.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.662249.2%306 W · 316 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under75c46.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4594456.5%533 W · 411 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e4…d492backed Under53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6716952.1%88 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc883…4ea1backed Over49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207471.6%53 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017042.9%73 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdce3…6431backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over50c40.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2911346%52 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over49c38.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.985251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Over49c37.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Under50c37.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.583354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over49c36.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9987254.2%473 W · 399 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c32.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14,53449%2,220 W · 2,314 L-41.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c32.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.082,32751.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L+26.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9542348.2%204 W · 219 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under47c23.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621,22250%611 W · 611 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under51c22.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8435748.5%173 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over55c20.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1994069.3%651 W · 289 L+93.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.