South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84f5a38bdae656f9329a97ee558aaa4c3bfc55174f919620f795a61c9e58510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 50c | 38,694$19,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,327.35 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Yes | 51c | 35,500$18,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,395 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 17,528$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 16,989$8,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,367 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 6,688$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.84 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.99 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 4,494$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.53 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 52c | 3,790$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.45 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 50c | 2,882$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.91 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 2,738$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.71 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked No | 50c | 2,282$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 2,236$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.7 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 52c | 1,568$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.36 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 51c | 969.9$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.96 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 843.82$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 834.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.37 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 683.92$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 49c | 612.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 14c | 610$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 14c | 585.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 14c | 579.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 50c | 578.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 526.42$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 525.78$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 49c | 510.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 507$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 52c | 495.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.05 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 51c | 439.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 48c | 425.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 65c | 425.2$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 49c | 385$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 15c | 380$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 345$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 50c | 341.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 5c | 329.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 19c | 307.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 273.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 49c | 259.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 49c | 246.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 50c | 233$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 210.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked No | 51c | 183$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 10c | 161.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 156.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 52c | 156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 49c | 146.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 22c | 125.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 46c | 107.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 52c | 106.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 43c | 98.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 50c | 95.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 25c | 94.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed No | 51c | 87.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…8668backed No | 48c | 84.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 48c | 83.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 75.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 71c | 71.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 49c | 68.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 49c | 67.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 27c | 64.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 49c | 63.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 49c | 60.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 31c | 60.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.