Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe1182960ae1e177943e1d3cd0ed3936db82732b74465cdc3b946d1a91ae9501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 69c | 3,622$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.6 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 3,164$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.14 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 1,497$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.48 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,028$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.14 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 72c | 759.98$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.92 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 26c | 699.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.42 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 684.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 27c | 644$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.01 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 31c | 616.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.89 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 15c | 418$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 78c | 416.74$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.1 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 76c | 398.67$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 351.43$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 20c | 330$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 9c | 325$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 7c | 315.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 79c | 313.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 276.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.61 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 36c | 263.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 33c | 260.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 254.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 218.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 13c | 195.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 42c | 184.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 69c | 182.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 161.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 142.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 31c | 141$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 119.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…6968backed Yes | 48c | 117.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 45c | 101.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 28c | 96.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 26c | 87.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 27c | 87.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 75c | 84.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 24c | 82.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 16c | 79.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 77.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 75.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 62c | 73.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 66.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 41c | 58.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 27c | 54.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 19c | 54.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 75c | 48.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 47.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 43.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed Yes | 29c | 41.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…dcfebacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…50ccbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 30c | 38.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 38.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 31c | 37.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 36.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…bc49backed No | 79c | 34.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 74c | 31.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 63c | 29.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 71c | 27.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 48c | 26.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…7493backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 24.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…9fecbacked No | 77c | 23.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 64c | 21.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 68c | 20.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 79c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…c513backed No | 74c | 16.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 77c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 280 | 68.6%192 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.