TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0174…06b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$16.69
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+259.9%+$37.3
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.37
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+165.6%+$34.9
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.03
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+322.1%+$48.31
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+98.7%+$14.71
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+148.5%+$22.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Digvijaypratap Singhbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$42.9
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$5.44
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$6.8
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.6%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$17.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+31.6%+$3.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.