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Wallet 0x0617…08d9

Rebuilt .

Best in Tennis705 qualified picks$11,978 staked14 of 23 categories below 50first seen Jul 28, 2026, EDT

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.23 categories, best first

Tennis in detail

60+0.09 edge/pickSee the full Tennis board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
175
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
64% 112 W · 63 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
+18.7
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
+0.11
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
53c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
+13.7%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$3,169
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
before 6%in play 94%, over 175 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
1 h 14to the end, median over 1,076 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
+0.12109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 173 of 175 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 28, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$1,194.79 tailing 175 Tennis picks (112 W · 63 L) at $50 each: +13.7% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Tennis picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Tennis picks

SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 28, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Runeon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Holger RuneWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$35+164.3%+$58
Oct 28, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minauron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Learner TienLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$21-100%-$21.25
Oct 28, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Adrian MannarinoWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$44+103.4%+$45.83
Oct 28, 2026, EDTPan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibsonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexandra EalaWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$24+87.7%+$21.04
Oct 27, 2026, EDTBrest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herberton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Stefano TravagliaWon (open this pick on its own page)21c$11+379.7%+$43.45
Oct 27, 2026, EDTGuayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto Olivierion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Genaro Alberto OlivieriLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$24-100%-$23.77
Oct 27, 2026, EDTGuayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboianon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Franco RoncadelliLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$21-100%-$21.11
Oct 27, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buseon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Adrian MannarinoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$13+68.3%+$8.98
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Filson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arthur FilsWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$11+28.2%+$3.11
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zizou BergsLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$16-100%-$16.47
Oct 26, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halyson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Quentin HalysLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$19-100%-$18.57
Oct 26, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnleyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arthur FeryWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$26+115.4%+$30.5
Oct 26, 2026, EDTGuangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Harriet DartWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$29+51.5%+$14.78
Oct 24, 2026, EDTEuropean Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struffon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arthur FilsLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$66-100%-$66.09
Oct 24, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musettion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Flavio CobolliLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$11-100%-$10.91
Oct 24, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Kruegeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ashlyn KruegerWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$17+108.7%+$18.79
Oct 24, 2026, EDTGuangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cuion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jie CuiLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$24-100%-$24.32
Oct 24, 2026, EDTPan Pacific Open, Qualification: Liudmila Samsonova vs Heather Watsonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Heather WatsonWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$15+108.3%+$16.07
Oct 23, 2026, EDTCali: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$13+53.8%+$7.2
Oct 23, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashimaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Brandon NakashimaLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$27-100%-$26.91
Oct 23, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Leylah FernandezWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$16+241.8%+$38.1
Oct 23, 2026, EDTGuangzhou 2: Akira Santillan vs Jie Cuion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jie CuiWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$15+44.9%+$6.66
Oct 23, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sara BejlekLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$12-100%-$12.05
Oct 22, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashimaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kyrian JacquetLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$10-100%-$10.47
Oct 22, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinkaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Flavio CobolliWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$38+35.6%+$13.45
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.