MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02efe744bbcaaeb7cb1959b84b9e7c5038c358698eeb893969e5bdd546fe1be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2b5…2e6dbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 7,792$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 4,934$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 4,325$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 2,885$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 785.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 596$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 592.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 554.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.56 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 511.65$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 434.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 386$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 385.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 357.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 273.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 237.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 225.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 215.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 206.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 183$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 178.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 178.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 160.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 156.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 148.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 148.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 142$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 124.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 115.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 87.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 86.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 83.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 79.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 79.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 72.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 71.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 64.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 63.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 56.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 51.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 50.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 48.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 43.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 42.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 42.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 38.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 38.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 37.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 23.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 22.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.