Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Inaki Montes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2587d9aaf8bf3136da174198a96c7d39c85b50a52f6d71b9fcdc3e5c1a9b3054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inaki Montesof Jay Dylan Friend, Inaki Montes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Jay Dylan Friend | 50c | 20,095$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inaki Montes | 49c | 6,141$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.86 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jay Dylan Friend | 58c | 3,797$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.99 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Jay Dylan Friend | 42c | 3,738$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.97 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 310 | 56.1%174 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 53c | 2,920$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.53 | 511 | 42.7%218 W · 293 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 10c | 1,938$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Inaki Montes | 54c | 1,747$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.81 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Inaki Montes | 49c | 1,638$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.86 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Inaki Montes | 76c | 1,336$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Inaki Montes | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.52 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Inaki Montes | 47c | 1,121$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.08 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Inaki Montes | 45c | 1,083$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Inaki Montes | 44c | 828.75$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Jay Dylan Friend | 33c | 821.03$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Inaki Montes | 53c | 799.7$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.31 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Inaki Montes | 66c | 771.03$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 663.26$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.44 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…cd11backed Inaki Montes | 45c | 662.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jay Dylan Friend | 53c | 613.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…c9f9backed Jay Dylan Friend | 50c | 489.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inaki Montes | 47c | 449$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Jay Dylan Friend | 3c | 404.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Jay Dylan Friend | 48c | 358.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Jay Dylan Friend | 58c | 343.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Inaki Montes | 53c | 341.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Jay Dylan Friend | 45c | 334.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inaki Montes | 68c | 326.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 300.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Jay Dylan Friend | 14c | 299.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Inaki Montes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 48c | 272.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inaki Montes | 63c | 262.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inaki Montes | 45c | 259.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 65c | 233.79$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Inaki Montes | 50c | 229.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Jay Dylan Friend | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 532 | 41.5%221 W · 311 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 60c | 171$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 55c | 158.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 55c | 144.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Inaki Montes | 41c | 135.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…adf6backed Jay Dylan Friend | 59c | 135.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Inaki Montes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Inaki Montes | 48c | 111.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Inaki Montes | 48c | 105.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…95efbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 58c | 101.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jay Dylan Friend | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inaki Montes | 67c | 75.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Jay Dylan Friend | 18c | 67.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Jay Dylan Friend | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Jay Dylan Friend | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Inaki Montes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 44c | 51.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Inaki Montes | 38c | 50.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Jay Dylan Friend | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Inaki Montes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…bdd3backed Inaki Montes | 42c | 49.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Inaki Montes | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…c7e6backed Jay Dylan Friend | 55c | 42.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Inaki Montes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jay Dylan Friend | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Inaki Montes | 50c | 36.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Inaki Montes | 49c | 30.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…9ec8backed Inaki Montes | 51c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Inaki Montes | 66c | 26.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 25.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 304 | 65.5%199 W · 105 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Inaki Montes | 53c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Inaki Montes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Inaki Montesthis page
- Set Handicap: Friend (-1.5) vs Montes (+1.5)Montes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.