Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x443832b757325fd9b2f5d1d0bb2a5ce30800f36a05315c0da588ea46ed879ee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa426…7b84backed Yes | 66c | 1,522$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 34c | 1,030$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 60c | 836.56$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 40c | 717.81$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 71c | 262.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 31c | 225$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 50c | 213.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked No | 7c | 212.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 38c | 207.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Yes | 50c | 200.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 43c | 164.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 158.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…0034backed Yes | 79c | 151.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 76c | 116.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 23c | 115.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 101.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 99.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 97.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…e08abacked No | 52c | 82.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 62c | 81.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…3e28backed Yes | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…1655backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…a6e2backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…b622backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…8eaabacked Yes | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 51c | 50.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…41d9backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 47c | 46.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…8ad7backed Yes | 50c | 43.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 42c | 42.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 33c | 37.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 41c | 35.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…72bebacked No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 40c | 32.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…2f97backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 27.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 66c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…cf1bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will England finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Panama finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.