Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17cbad9bbafa08a97b00d926be2af45303eb180567942d069793d70e5dcd21d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 72c | 992.12$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 28c | 871.84$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 29c | 728$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 389$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 29c | 235$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 74c | 220.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 25c | 199.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 152.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 67c | 141.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 131.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 121.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 99.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 72c | 80.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 50.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…b065backed Yes | 37c | 40.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 27.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 65c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
- Will England finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Panama finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.