MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfa4cd8d9eba80ee17ed11bf7c8faa7f6f07b4c34068dfaad3e271c18cf3eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 44c | 98,441$43,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,126.95 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 53c | 16,589$8,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,812.29 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 48c | 6,877$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.15 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 47c | 6,309$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.13 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 4,866$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Over | 46c | 1,722$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,721$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 1,524$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 1,365$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.9 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 1,200$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.41 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 1,027$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 1,015$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 948.61$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.79 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 908.5$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.59 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 729.72$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 48c | 717.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.82 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 703.4$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.87 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 673.42$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 629.38$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 586.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 502.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 480.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 401.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 318.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 47c | 297.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 48c | 268.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 206.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 45c | 187.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 55c | 137.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 56c | 117.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 43c | 114.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 50c | 111.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 108.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Under | 51c | 96.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 43c | 96.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 43c | 96.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 45c | 96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 94.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 43c | 85.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 82.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 75.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 49c | 66.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 64c | 63.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 56.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 44c | 54.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…2d82backed Over | 45c | 50.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…6801backed Over | 42c | 49.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 43c | 48.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 52c | 47.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Over | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 45.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 46c | 39.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 49c | 38.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 46c | 37.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 31.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Over | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 54c | 18.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.