Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52405538be4126ebc48cd61aaab3486df5f82b9e4006a3d2cf1b0d3ed2c10376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 1c | 22,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 4c | 21,967$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.26 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 17,889$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 0c | 17,356$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 5c | 7,600$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.8 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…20cfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 1c | 4,659$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…5d3fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,196$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…7092backed Yes | 9c | 3,100$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 83 | 8.4%7 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,081$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +1,075.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,807$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,440$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed Yes | 2c | 1,700$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 1,633$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 11c | 1,498$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,400$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,256$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 11c | 1,117$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 11c | 1,050$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 7c | 1,013$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…301dbacked Yes | 6c | 999.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 9c | 944.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes | 13c | 900$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 101 | 14.9%15 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 10c | 798.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 2c | 769.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes | 13c | 753.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…f9c0backed Yes | 7c | 714$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 15c | 705.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 15c | 646.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 610.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…ed71backed Yes | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 9c | 563.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…5358backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…573cbacked Yes | 21c | 473.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 435.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 402.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes | 16c | 380.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 80 | 8.8%7 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 343.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 7c | 319.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 314.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 12c | 303.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…ac28backed Yes | 7c | 279.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…d5c2backed Yes | 13c | 243.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6386…c6f1backed Yes | 11c | 226.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…0c0fbacked Yes | 14c | 220.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 13c | 217.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…34c6backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f817backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…8c33backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…9971backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 352 | 12.8%45 W · 307 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f5…c7c6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 13c | 175.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 12c | 174.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 12c | 154.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 14c | 147.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 10c | 124.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 334 | 15.6%52 W · 282 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…b1ffbacked Yes | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…e0d6backed Yes | 11c | 108.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes | 12c | 105.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…3fd6backed Yes | 13c | 101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…3691backed Yes | 12c | 100.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…4dd2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +452.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…58d3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1d…8721backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…61a6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…aafabacked Yes | 13c | 98.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd18…4783backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…ce73backed Yes | 19c | 68.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188f…e789backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…1b18backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.