TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham 2: Dane Sweeny vs Jacob Fearnley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacob Fearnleyof Dane Sweeny, Jacob Fearnley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bb3…758ebacked Jacob Fearnley66c6,383$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.9648552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jacob Fearnley70c5,017$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.424,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c74…3c0dbacked Dane Sweeny34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x928c…0f9ebacked Dane Sweeny30c3,949$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.73132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Dane Sweeny31c2,542$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.742,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked Dane Sweeny57c2,073$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.357047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Dane Sweeny49c2,040$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.2411059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Dane Sweeny29c2,004$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57654138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Jacob Fearnley73c1,797$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.114,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dane Sweeny31c1,011$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.226,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Dane Sweeny36c1,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.882,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dane Sweeny22c795.57$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.768,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Dane Sweeny26c707.13$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5812326.8%33 W · 90 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…1d45backed Dane Sweeny29c699.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Dane Sweeny28c632.07$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.292,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Dane Sweeny27c599.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Jacob Fearnley63c510.27$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.81,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Jacob Fearnley71c505$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2538652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dane Sweeny29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Dane Sweeny49c493$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.571,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Dane Sweeny27c462$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.742,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dane Sweeny31c426.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.934,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Jacob Fearnley73c406.97$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.81,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88e…929fbacked Dane Sweeny5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Dane Sweeny50c397.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Jacob Fearnley68c395.57$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0923954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jacob Fearnley71c387.73$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4478152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Dane Sweeny32c384.22$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.553,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Dane Sweeny31c378.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5130642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b753backed Dane Sweeny47c374$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7814369.2%99 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Dane Sweeny30c340.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.471,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Dane Sweeny29c333.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.671,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Dane Sweeny28c309.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.713,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley77c298.11$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.568,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Dane Sweeny35c291.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.291,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Dane Sweeny32c283.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.781,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Jacob Fearnley59c268.92$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2637944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Jacob Fearnley53c255.57$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Dane Sweeny46c253.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.181,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Dane Sweeny29c243.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.621,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Jacob Fearnley72c234.16$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.665072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Jacob Fearnley58c231.37$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.181,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jacob Fearnley62c227.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.326,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…b8eabacked Dane Sweeny36c223.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Jacob Fearnley73c218.03$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2328048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Dane Sweeny33c214.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.441,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Dane Sweeny43c214$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9379646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Dane Sweeny46c213.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Dane Sweeny9c209.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.782,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Jacob Fearnley73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4824975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jacob Fearnley50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Dane Sweeny21c194.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.145,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Jacob Fearnley59c188.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2570456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dane Sweeny26c187.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.444,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Dane Sweeny28c185.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.735,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dane Sweeny23c183.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Dane Sweeny25c181.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.315,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Dane Sweeny28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jacob Fearnley67c174$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Dane Sweeny29c170.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0227753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dane Sweeny17c170$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.94,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Dane Sweeny49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3224856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dane Sweeny39c167.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.33,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e7…2e16backed Jacob Fearnley78c165.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Dane Sweeny29c165.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dane Sweeny29c164.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.432,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Jacob Fearnley65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jacob Fearnley72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Dane Sweeny28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dane Sweeny8c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Jacob Fearnley59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.519744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Jacob Fearnley54c149.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6944949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Dane Sweeny36c136$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Dane Sweeny44c135.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5954955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Dane Sweeny11c120.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1532732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dane Sweeny35c120.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.454,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Dane Sweeny30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca50…2ff6backed Dane Sweeny47c106.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Jacob Fearnley71c105.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.961,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Jacob Fearnley80c101.4$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6422567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dane Sweeny38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Dane Sweeny30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc44…3a2fbacked Jacob Fearnley60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Jacob Fearnley66c97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.072,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Jacob Fearnley62c96.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.312,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Dane Sweeny33c96.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.791,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9d4f…ab40backed Jacob Fearnley73c93.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.114170.7%29 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dane Sweeny35c91.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.171,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Jacob Fearnley71c91.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.416050.6%81 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dane Sweeny43c90.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.466,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a9…3579backed Dane Sweeny37c86.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.764637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Dane Sweeny29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Dane Sweeny42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Dane Sweeny20c83.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.858539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dane Sweeny22c75.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.856,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Jacob Fearnley59c73.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3019941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Dane Sweeny29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2119…1e8fbacked Jacob Fearnley74c67.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Jacob Fearnley74c67.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5617046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Dane Sweeny23c65.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.