MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f001c4b10b2c583b92dbd979f6ca29d1ae297f54e4a93b4d5e75a0cd24685b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Athletics | 48c | 152,595$72,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,783.76 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Orioles | 52c | 59,215$31,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,161.38 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Athletics | 51c | 48,878$24,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,847.03 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 53c | 36,338$19,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,225.3 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Athletics | 25c | 22,146$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534.72 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 52c | 11,879$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.49 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 52c | 11,673$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 41c | 11,230$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.65 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 52c | 10,734$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.57 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Orioles | 51c | 10,007$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.21 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5486…f674backed Athletics | 47c | 9,996$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…3c44backed Orioles | 53c | 9,996$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Orioles | 52c | 9,819$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.23 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 52c | 6,152$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.96 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 40c | 5,855$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.72 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 58c | 5,824$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 53c | 5,200$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.96 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Orioles | 54c | 4,243$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 35c | 2,837$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 2,738$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Athletics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Athletics | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,991$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.77 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 49c | 1,987$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.61 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Orioles | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,665$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Athletics | 21c | 1,569$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Athletics | 9c | 1,497$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 71c | 1,482$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.7 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Orioles | 26c | 1,476$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 60c | 1,469$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.96 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 41c | 1,380$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Athletics | 41c | 1,099$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 1c | 1,068$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.12 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 52c | 999.98$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Orioles | 43c | 919.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Athletics | 77c | 872.71$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.35 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Athletics | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 6c | 803.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Orioles | 74c | 760.52$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.16 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Athletics | 47c | 750$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 3c | 692.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Orioles | 54c | 681.48$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Athletics | 48c | 647.27$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.69 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 25c | 602.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Athletics | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Athletics | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 47c | 524.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Orioles | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Athletics | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Orioles | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Orioles | 54c | 461.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Athletics | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 23c | 409.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 70c | 403.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 51c | 345.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 51c | 330.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Orioles | 43c | 296.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 49c | 296.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Orioles | 75c | 279.82$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Athletics | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Athletics | 46c | 236.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Athletics | 38c | 226$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…7881backed Athletics | 47c | 206.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Orioles | 74c | 190.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Orioles | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 79c | 177$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Athletics | 7c | 165.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 50c | 163.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Athletics | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…ebcebacked Orioles | 54c | 153.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Athletics | 48c | 144.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Orioles | 53c | 136.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…cc01backed Athletics | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Orioles | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 42c | 125$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Athletics | 47c | 112.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 53c | 112$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Orioles | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…ce76backed Orioles | 54c | 110.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 55c | 109.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Athletics | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Athletics | 47c | 102.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Athletics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Orioles | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Orioles | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.