MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8004b474921df75ba584ce5a71f2fb09fb9777fe42787ec7f5537f34a1d65484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago White Sox, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 2,582$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.68 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 1,582$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,482$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,314$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.5 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 1,280$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.06 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 1,095$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 1,094$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.84 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 31c | 1,025$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.82 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 827.39$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.22 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 758.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 540.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 464.64$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 402.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 348.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 338.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 12c | 262.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 225.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 217.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Chicago White Sox | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 148.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 138.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 137.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 101.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 101.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 89.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 86.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 80.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 416 | 48.8%203 W · 213 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 77.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 72.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 68.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 67.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 38.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 24.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 24.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 21.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 282 | 56.4%159 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.