MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb872230e2a4324d09824347665fd9b5e4e91f781b2b04b9f9015cef0899bb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Cincinnati Reds, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 68c | 44,579$30,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,458.52 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 34,611$9,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,448.85 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 22,981$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,260.8 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 21,729$8,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,154.61 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 11,634$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.1 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 7,287$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.31 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 6,422$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.76 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 5,488$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.28 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,650$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.5 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 4,397$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 3,519$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.33 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,595$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.09 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 2,261$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.24 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 2,078$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.26 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,072$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.13 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,025$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,942$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.74 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 1,557$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,500$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.48 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,353$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,197$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.83 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 923.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 78c | 772.44$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.17 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 655.93$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 587.39$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 585.53$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked San Francisco Giants | 76c | 560$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 559.05$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 76c | 425.92$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 407.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 368$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 333.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 331.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 331.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 312.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 300.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 287.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 280.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 76c | 263.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 243.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 205$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 202.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked San Francisco Giants | 79c | 191.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 416 | 48.8%203 W · 213 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 189.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 178.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 213 | 46%98 W · 115 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 172.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 167.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 151.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked San Francisco Giants | 76c | 131.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 131.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 122.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants | 67c | 115.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 80.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 512 | 61.7%316 W · 196 L | +38.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 71.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…d492backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…bafebacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…aa36backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f3…5067backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 49.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 49.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 48.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 46.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 45.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 44.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 39.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked San Francisco Giants | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…6431backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…3361backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed San Francisco Giants | 79c | 37.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 201 | 61.2%123 W · 78 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked San Francisco Giants | 79c | 37.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 37.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 164 | 39%64 W · 100 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 257 | 52.9%136 W · 121 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants | 71c | 30.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 30.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.