Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b22527ec7c1d88afebbc23bb6f567c40a077e23d08de0ead99bc636abd969ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 1,032$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed Yes | 56c | 866.18$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 32c | 570.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 405$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 47c | 396.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 60c | 366.45$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 39c | 344.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b929backed Yes | 38c | 317.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 63c | 291.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed No | 58c | 268.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 43c | 243.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 229.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 71c | 226.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 203.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 52c | 182.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 51c | 177.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 50c | 172.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 156.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 144.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 45c | 130.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 42c | 128.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 53c | 128.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 43c | 124.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 57c | 124.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 44c | 120.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 47c | 116.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 45c | 107.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked No | 43c | 102.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1a…2987backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed Yes | 34c | 89.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 81.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 63c | 73.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 72.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 44c | 68.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 59c | 66.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 69c | 62.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 36c | 57.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 44c | 56.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 58c | 48.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 62c | 45.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 68c | 45.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 44c | 45.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 66c | 36.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…4ccabacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…26c2backed Yes | 40c | 31.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 42c | 25.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…41c6backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…3cc3backed No | 53c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…1316backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…f3cebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 65c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 64c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.