MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42a38c17e4da22601fa9e93a45b155ad40b56debc68085f706cf7a148da47b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 61,668$20,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,209.49 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 46,670$33,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,384.23 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 27,042$9,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,306.67 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 20,238$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.68 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.9 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 12,965$8,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,144.88 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 9,728$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.53 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 9,133$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936.47 | 181 | 53%96 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 9,045$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 8,480$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.2 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 8,131$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.88 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 7,992$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.17 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 6,045$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.86 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…f5e6backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 5,807$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.54 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 5,026$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.01 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Chicago Cubs | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 318 | 30.8%98 W · 220 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 4,649$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.13 | 283 | 58.3%165 W · 118 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 4,294$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.98 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 4,053$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.11 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 3,968$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.26 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…6c7fbacked Chicago Cubs | 8c | 3,593$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 3,564$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 3,504$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 3,502$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.14 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 3,428$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.1 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…c8aabacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 3,148$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 2,744$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.92 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 2,581$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.23 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 2,363$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.4 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,361$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.11 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 2,295$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.12 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 464 | 51.1%237 W · 227 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 1,948$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,735$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 1,650$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 1,532$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,373$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.93 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 6c | 1,308$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 171 | 14%24 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,293$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.38 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,293$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.38 | 228 | 40.8%93 W · 135 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,262$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.74 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,076$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.48 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 968.53$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 883 | 48%424 W · 459 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…e64bbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 935.39$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.73 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 905.17$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.21 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 886.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 844.99$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.79 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 812.65$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.22 | 384 | 57.3%220 W · 164 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 800$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 782.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 767.57$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.11 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 749.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 742.69$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 739.6$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 729.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.36 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 720.96$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.42 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 657.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.83 | 317 | 52.7%167 W · 150 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 625.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.29 | 392 | 34.2%134 W · 258 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 536.65$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 509.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 507.19$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 504.72$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.02 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 497.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 491.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.53 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 476.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 636 | 48.9%311 W · 325 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 466.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 264 | 51.1%135 W · 129 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 460.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 229 | 43.2%99 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 459.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 1,213 | 49.1%595 W · 618 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…2737backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 403.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 395$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 387.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.55 | 3,231 | 51.2%1,655 W · 1,576 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 379.36$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 372$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 1,109 | 79.5%882 W · 227 L | +31.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 359.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 525 | 61.3%322 W · 203 L | +38.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 352.54$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 341$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.26 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 322.28$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 1,049 | 58.4%613 W · 436 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 298.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 294.66$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 291.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 279.75$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 271.72$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 1,979 | 53.2%1,052 W · 927 L | +45.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 259.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 261 | 47.5%124 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 229.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 226.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 220.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.