MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b52b7268ffb070a133a5c1faa8306da115b7a43254b4a86d0b289d5a295cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 47c | 155,367$73,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,022.72 | 490 | 49%240 W · 250 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 106,344$56,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,045.09 | 513 | 53.8%276 W · 237 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 51c | 26,266$13,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,783.56 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 16,415$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,715.09 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 8,944$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.25 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Over | 53c | 7,777$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.19 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…f442backed Over | 53c | 7,358$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 6,152$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.07 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 5,525$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.96 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 503 | 51.9%261 W · 242 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 483 | 48.4%234 W · 249 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 2,047$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.56 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 49c | 2,039$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.76 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.96 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,712$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.57 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 1,707$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.36 | 374 | 49.2%184 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 45c | 1,354$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.95 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 209 | 48.3%101 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,132$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.54 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 491 | 46.4%228 W · 263 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 952.79$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.51 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 53c | 811.64$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.12 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 55c | 648.78$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 1,213 | 49.1%595 W · 618 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 50c | 599.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 493 | 50.9%251 W · 242 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Under | 47c | 412.84$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 66c | 364.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 361.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 329$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 300.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 53c | 269$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 384 | 49%188 W · 196 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 188.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 47c | 160.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 747 | 52.5%392 W · 355 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 52c | 152.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 584 | 51.5%301 W · 283 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 53c | 149.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 50c | 136.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 357 | 48.5%173 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 54c | 133.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 633 | 47.1%298 W · 335 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 48c | 131.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 114.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 107.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 818 | 57.1%467 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 48c | 94.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Over | 53c | 86.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 83.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 620 | 52.7%327 W · 293 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…c723backed Over | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 55.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 59c | 50.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 231 | 48.5%112 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 50.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,852 | 54%1,001 W · 851 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,444 | 50.1%1,225 W · 1,219 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Under | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 53c | 46.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Over | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Over | 53c | 32.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…9729backed Over | 52c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 52c | 24.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 53c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 315 | 54%170 W · 145 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Over | 53c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.