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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Himeno Sakatsume

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Himeno Sakatsumeof Mia Ristic, Himeno Sakatsume
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Himeno Sakatsume75c15,249$11,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.23,77642.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L-44.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Mia Ristic46c9,783$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50038647.4%183 W · 203 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Mia Ristic3c5,405$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.999897.9%78 W · 911 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Himeno Sakatsume74c4,419$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.664,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mia Ristic12c3,415$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.315,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Himeno Sakatsume57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9938546.5%179 W · 206 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Mia Ristic40c2,754$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.38561.2%52 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Mia Ristic43c2,347$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010055%55 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mia Ristic21c2,278$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.69,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Himeno Sakatsume55c1,992$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.455343.2%239 W · 314 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Himeno Sakatsume59c1,927$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.963,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mia Ristic38c1,907$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.861,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Himeno Sakatsume55c1,598$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.461,73348.4%839 W · 894 L+40.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Himeno Sakatsume63c1,592$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.369657.5%400 W · 296 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8d…621fbacked Mia Ristic17c1,546$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.851844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Himeno Sakatsume54c1,256$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.421,79349.4%885 W · 908 L+62.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Mia Ristic43c1,240$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5334634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mia Ristic45c1,116$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.252,54551.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Mia Ristic16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16062122.2%138 W · 483 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mia Ristic48c996$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.331,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Himeno Sakatsume56c970.54$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.273751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mia Ristic46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2767,15739.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L-9.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mia Ristic8c593.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.582,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mia Ristic46c569.76$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.096,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Himeno Sakatsume45c549$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9539951.1%204 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Mia Ristic45c538.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4976339.2%299 W · 464 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Himeno Sakatsume56c510.25$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5164851.9%336 W · 312 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Himeno Sakatsume79c474.92$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1912848.4%62 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Himeno Sakatsume56c355.3$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3331257.4%179 W · 133 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mia Ristic45c351.48$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.282,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mia Ristic44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322,29642.9%984 W · 1,312 L+37.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Mia Ristic27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8287738.2%335 W · 542 L-21.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Himeno Sakatsume56c279.59$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0312051.7%62 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Mia Ristic47c273.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.411,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+38.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Mia Ristic46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Himeno Sakatsume52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mia Ristic41c240$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41,59942.3%676 W · 923 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Mia Ristic43c235.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3129642.6%126 W · 170 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Himeno Sakatsume70c231.93$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.732,36952.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L+87.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Himeno Sakatsume57c227.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0433549.6%166 W · 169 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Mia Ristic45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed Mia Ristic46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008748.3%42 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Mia Ristic15c210$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.31,39839.1%546 W · 852 L-25.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Himeno Sakatsume55c205$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2516751.5%86 W · 81 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Mia Ristic45c205$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.251,12152.2%585 W · 536 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Himeno Sakatsume55c201.36$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6156857.7%328 W · 240 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mia Ristic25c200.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,14228.2%322 W · 820 L+5.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Mia Ristic18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Mia Ristic45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016847%79 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Mia Ristic44c188.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8533636.9%124 W · 212 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mia Ristic28c181.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9355351.9%287 W · 266 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Mia Ristic44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7031555.9%176 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Mia Ristic38c154.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Mia Ristic42c129.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.746452.4%243 W · 221 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Himeno Sakatsume75c127.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326,89848.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L+61.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…672abacked Mia Ristic44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Himeno Sakatsume67c111.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.358,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Mia Ristic12c100.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5238731.3%121 W · 266 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Himeno Sakatsume61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3996645.5%440 W · 526 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Mia Ristic25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,10948%532 W · 577 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0a…f8b9backed Mia Ristic33c90.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Himeno Sakatsume61c79.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.114,08145.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L-30.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2318…36c8backed Mia Ristic45c78.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Himeno Sakatsume71c74.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.442,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fc…2b03backed Himeno Sakatsume54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Himeno Sakatsume56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4355758.9%328 W · 229 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Himeno Sakatsume56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6431649.7%157 W · 159 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mia Ristic27c68.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.576,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Himeno Sakatsume58c65.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4246064.3%296 W · 164 L+24.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Mia Ristic43c62.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.936149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Himeno Sakatsume78c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641,91759.3%1,136 W · 781 L+3.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Himeno Sakatsume77c61.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8751548.5%250 W · 265 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Himeno Sakatsume58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.414856.1%83 W · 65 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Himeno Sakatsume52c58.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9984647.9%405 W · 441 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Mia Ristic27c58.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.855946.3%259 W · 300 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Mia Ristic43c57.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.743748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Himeno Sakatsume58c54.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5519852%103 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Mia Ristic46c51.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.582133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mia Ristic43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53,90535%1,368 W · 2,537 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Himeno Sakatsume55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.523155%127 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Mia Ristic22c49.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Mia Ristic40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.239235.5%139 W · 253 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d34…e004backed Mia Ristic42c47.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Mia Ristic43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mia Ristic44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,37728.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L-20.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e2…0b7ebacked Mia Ristic45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Himeno Sakatsume76c43.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.592065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Mia Ristic44c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6162447.6%297 W · 327 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Mia Ristic47c41.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3227346.9%128 W · 145 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Himeno Sakatsume56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64650%23 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Himeno Sakatsume60c37.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0576048.3%367 W · 393 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Himeno Sakatsume59c30.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…c2e3backed Mia Ristic41c30.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.571050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…6aa1backed Mia Ristic44c30.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25850%29 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Mia Ristic34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.230953.1%164 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Mia Ristic44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125252.4%132 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Mia Ristic45c24.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1138139.6%151 W · 230 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mia Ristic42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,57136.4%937 W · 1,634 L-21.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Mia Ristic43c23.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.127656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Himeno Sakatsume67c22.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.521,52243.9%668 W · 854 L-26.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.