Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8cee8ad31772ce96f75fd916dd547d18ff43f9692c47b61190ccb89a5cb1103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 44c | 3,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.93 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d033backed Yes | 55c | 3,444$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 2,734$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 43c | 2,317$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 43c | 2,094$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.65 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 56c | 1,771$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.19 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Yes | 55c | 1,300$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.34 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 42c | 1,192$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.95 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 947.76$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.59 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 846.94$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…22f7backed Yes | 57c | 768.44$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.43 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 45c | 744.54$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 62c | 501.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 449.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 61c | 393.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Yes | 56c | 356.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 345.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Yes | 61c | 326.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 302.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…d2bbbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 262.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 237.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes | 55c | 235.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 56c | 230.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 43c | 220.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…cb2dbacked Yes | 49c | 220.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdad…9d6bbacked Yes | 56c | 193.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 58c | 184.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 56c | 183.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…448bbacked Yes | 55c | 182.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 180.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…9ad1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 44c | 176.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…7e74backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 56c | 174.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes | 57c | 170.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 227 | 31.3%71 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 170.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…5c64backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Yes | 61c | 158.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 44c | 149.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 148.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 135.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 32c | 116.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e95…61d6backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 45c | 95.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 54c | 91.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…3f11backed Yes | 55c | 90.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…f356backed Yes | 56c | 89.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…3074backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6897backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…4d21backed Yes | 57c | 78.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…0f77backed Yes | 54c | 71.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 25c | 70.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 58c | 68.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…04ccbacked No | 45c | 66.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…1187backed Yes | 54c | 55.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 45c | 54.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9144…e30dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…1fc5backed Yes | 56c | 51.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…ab63backed Yes | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 46.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…3b83backed Yes | 57c | 43.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6258backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cc66backed Yes | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…e911backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…e0f3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…dfefbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…febebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…3db8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…5611backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 57c | 33.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…e55abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb3…40f2backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…143bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…47f6backed Yes | 56c | 30.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 43c | 30.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…e8dfbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands to score first vs. Japan?this page
- Japan to score first vs. Netherlands?No won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.