Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0fb9c5ac250fea52265a4947064d613aebae1404dbc48593f3c564bfddd7f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 10,359$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.86 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 6,788$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.21 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 36c | 6,528$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 6,487$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.94 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.77 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,645$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 1,575$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 1,380$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.36 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 850$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 33c | 661.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 655.8$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 64c | 645.98$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 50c | 539.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 507.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 446.01$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 440.9$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 399.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 275.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 274$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 273.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 270.63$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 264.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 256.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 44c | 223.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 44c | 221$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 70c | 215.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 204.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 64c | 184$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 45c | 178.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 119.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 115.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 101.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 39c | 99.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 66c | 97.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 37c | 91.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 74.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 52c | 63.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 59.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 59.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 61c | 59.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 44.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 59c | 43.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…6a12backed Under | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 40c | 29.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Over | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 63c | 21.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…9b98backed Under | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 65c | 15.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.