Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf116761c6ed8f9d3acde0c792218de97b0c275e094ad26a3998461e93481eeb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.33 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 54c | 885.09$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.3 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 33c | 530$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.9 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 358.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 32c | 323.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 67c | 318.44$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 42c | 313.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 45c | 294.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8572backed Yes | 47c | 291.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 279.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 58c | 278.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 268.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 61c | 247.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 53c | 229.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 12c | 224.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 42c | 201.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 62c | 192.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 186$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 181.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 56c | 174.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…7bd7backed Yes | 49c | 173.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 162.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 147.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 50c | 143.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 72c | 139.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 133.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 58c | 129.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 126.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed No | 56c | 123.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 34c | 118.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 64c | 118$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 114.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 55c | 112.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 63c | 109.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 64c | 105.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…1423backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 29c | 97.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 94.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 73c | 90.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 15c | 88.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 74c | 87.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 55c | 83.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 56c | 82.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…2a24backed Yes | 36c | 79.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 75.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 32c | 75.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 63c | 63.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 34c | 63.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 62c | 58.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 56.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Yes | 43c | 55.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 51c | 53.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 42c | 53.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 36c | 52.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 26c | 52.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 74c | 52.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 66c | 50.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 23c | 50.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 47.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 36c | 42.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 35c | 42.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 76c | 42.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 33c | 40.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 63c | 32.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 51c | 30.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 28.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 27.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 51c | 25.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c118backed No | 62c | 25.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 57c | 24.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 58c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed No | 68c | 23.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…5904backed No | 62c | 19.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 66c | 18.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…d78abacked Yes | 76c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 64c | 18.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 68c | 18.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 60c | 18.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.