CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d8ab1898a3fd34ad8fd64becb0617eeb129c80621cfe37bf1d7749f707cceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd | 67c | 7,449$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.71 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ALKA | 34c | 2,176$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.55 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ALKA | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.8 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Keyd | 63c | 2,038$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.95 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed ALKA | 33c | 1,807$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 67c | 1,752$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 70c | 1,549$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 69c | 1,515$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 65c | 1,380$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.62 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA | 34c | 1,356$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.69 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked ALKA | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA | 26c | 980.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ALKA | 35c | 961.74$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.53 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ALKA | 31c | 946$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed ALKA | 31c | 943.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 63c | 850.62$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ALKA | 14c | 802.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Keyd | 70c | 725$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Keyd | 70c | 724.64$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…36afbacked ALKA | 32c | 636.62$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ALKA | 32c | 600$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ALKA | 28c | 547.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ALKA | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ALKA | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Keyd | 70c | 453.02$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…c725backed ALKA | 34c | 368$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 56c | 364.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALKA | 20c | 359.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…9592backed ALKA | 32c | 343.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 28c | 320$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ALKA | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA | 28c | 303$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALKA | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Keyd | 67c | 287$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Keyd | 62c | 284.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ALKA | 21c | 267.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ALKA | 36c | 266.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Keyd | 61c | 265.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked ALKA | 32c | 261.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ALKA | 27c | 258.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked ALKA | 35c | 254.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Keyd | 68c | 252.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ALKA | 36c | 252$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 70c | 245.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 44c | 202.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked ALKA | 30c | 202.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed ALKA | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ALKA | 30c | 170.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed ALKA | 33c | 165.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked ALKA | 39c | 148.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALKA | 45c | 140.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ALKA | 34c | 140$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked ALKA | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked ALKA | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked ALKA | 30c | 134.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Keyd | 65c | 134$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALKA | 28c | 130.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Keyd | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 120 | 71.7%86 W · 34 L | +16.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Keyd | 66c | 110.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Keyd | 65c | 105.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Keyd | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ALKA | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed ALKA | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 80c | 99.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Keyd | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed ALKA | 30c | 89.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Keyd | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Keyd | 60c | 87.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Keyd | 67c | 84.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…bf96backed ALKA | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed ALKA | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 62c | 75.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ALKA | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ALKA | 40c | 68.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Keyd | 62c | 61.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed ALKA | 35c | 57.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed ALKA | 38c | 54.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Keyd | 62c | 51.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed ALKA | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed ALKA | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Keyd | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked ALKA | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked ALKA | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked ALKA | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ALKA | 39c | 38.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed ALKA | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed ALKA | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ALKA | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Keyd | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Keyd | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked ALKA | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Keyd | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Keyd | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALKA | 41c | 24.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Keyd | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Keyd | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.