TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keydof Keyd, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd67c7,449$5,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.7192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed ALKA34c2,176$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.5580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed ALKA33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.839245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Keyd63c2,038$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.9514846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed ALKA33c1,807$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0110946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd67c1,752$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.821,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Keyd70c1,549$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.991,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd69c1,515$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.65,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd65c1,380$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.621,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA34c1,356$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.692,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked ALKA34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA26c980.92$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.453,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ALKA35c961.74$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.532,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked ALKA31c946$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4249536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed ALKA31c943.27$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1338841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Keyd63c850.62$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.61,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ALKA14c802.49$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.921,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Keyd70c725$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.546555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Keyd70c724.64$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3959755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…36afbacked ALKA32c636.62$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ALKA32c600$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALKA32c550$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ALKA28c547.77$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.021,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked ALKA30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ALKA37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Keyd70c453.02$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.912,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA29c400$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.642,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfef6…c725backed ALKA34c368$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.282152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd56c364.84$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.537,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ALKA20c359.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.666,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4229…9592backed ALKA32c343.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA28c320$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.461,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked ALKA32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA28c303$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.382,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ALKA32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.932,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Keyd67c287$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8440666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Keyd62c284.54$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1361154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ALKA21c267.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked ALKA36c266.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0744747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Keyd61c265.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked ALKA32c261.78$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.777850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ALKA27c258.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked ALKA35c254.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.855133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Keyd68c252.37$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2835861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed ALKA36c252$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.348851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Keyd70c245.46$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.792,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA44c202.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.414,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…7c1ebacked ALKA30c202.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed ALKA34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ALKA30c170.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed ALKA33c165.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6529246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked ALKA39c148.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4713332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALKA45c140.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.094,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked ALKA34c140$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0549149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked ALKA36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.435131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked ALKA30c135$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked ALKA30c134.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3734140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Keyd65c134$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.925643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ALKA28c130.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.454,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Keyd67c111$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7512071.7%86 W · 34 L+16.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Keyd66c110.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4832458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Keyd65c105.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9711155%61 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Keyd65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3528856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed ALKA31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3367750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed ALKA34c99.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9917041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd80c99.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.232,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Keyd61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3621950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed ALKA30c89.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.986942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Keyd67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.556753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Keyd60c87.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.831,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Keyd67c84.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c73…bf96backed ALKA25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed ALKA38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd62c75.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked ALKA29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed ALKA40c68.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.379951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Keyd62c61.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.519837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x583c…86c0backed ALKA35c57.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+94.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed ALKA38c54.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.812962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Keyd62c51.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5220957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e829backed ALKA40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed ALKA35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9741437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Keyd70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8683856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked ALKA38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b66…582fbacked ALKA38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7488…9cfbbacked ALKA38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed ALKA39c38.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1235141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed ALKA35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed ALKA40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ALKA33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Keyd70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Keyd70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.114356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…673ebacked ALKA41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Keyd56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Keyd71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1746843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALKA41c24.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Keyd62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1233849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Keyd71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.