TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7292…d0ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5766.7%38 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.46
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.67
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.3
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.58
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$41.05
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$31.12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$78.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.33
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.86
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$112
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+106%+$231.74
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$60.59
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$136.12
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$164.65
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$54.98
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.46
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.03
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.71
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$166.64
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+55.8%+$74.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.04
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65.5%+$9.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.70 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34%+$6.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.