TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe272…20b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.68
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Madrid Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockxbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.14
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.18
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$28.16
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$58.54
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.36
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+970%+$133.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.01
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+71%+$15.35
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$19.28
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.54
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.72
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.47
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+271.5%+$49.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27%+$4.27
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$48.53
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$29.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.