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EventUS Midterms

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

US MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 34 wallets, $88,561 · No: 22 wallets, $22,127 34 of 56 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of US Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of US Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf440…b009#25 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$9,46957c+$7,135.7365
0x98d0…f14a#26 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3,45064c+$1,901.9465
0x4be5…c1b3#45 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4,94562c+$3,054.9964
0xa43d…00f4#46 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5,10068c+$2,40064
0x40c2…b2fc#54 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1470c+$664
0x274e…648c#87 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,95039c-$1,949.9963
0x0a53…7a6f#95 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,09869c+$957.662
0x23d8…0288#137 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4,52041c-$4,519.9761
0x4e2d…4936#176 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3761c+$23.361
0x83c5…e193#186 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$52757c+$393.460
0xff7c…b233#333 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$11055c+$9058
0xc862…3fb2#357 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2066c+$10.3258
0x2365…8eb9#409 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$373c-$36.7158
0x7e35…1a6c#435 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$50554c+$430.7858
0x1c14…0869#438 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$9,28453c+$8,383.6758
0x86f0…610c#471 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5055c+$40.8957
0x98ac…40d9#791 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3549c-$34.7756
0xf6c6…7d80#971 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$52066c+$262.4455
0x33e2…3a1b#1,175 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$5,60028c-$5,60055
0x6c10…df5c#1,515 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5555c+$4554
0x4488…e319#1,564 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,53371c+$1,034.4854
0xb06c…b574#2,438 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5159c+$35.253
0xe8c4…395d#23,123 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,20039c-$1,200.0349
0x2f26…0d8f#29,291 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$19251c-$191.7647
Top 51 to 200
0x88d7…5762#7 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$18254c+$157.769
0xa45f…d6cb#10 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$53660c+$363.6568
0xe3f2…e1c1#40 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$16,38462c+$10,039.2465
0xa20c…451a#49 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$17,61665c+$9,522.9764
0xf107…b9ba#82 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2754c+$23.2563
0x1547…d066#114 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$33066c+$17062
0x0d5e…5c24#171 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$27969c+$126.4561
0xa667…ceb3#211 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,11465c+$595.6460
0xaacb…5aec#353 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$16176c+$51.3758
0xb17d…59ae#510 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2338c-$22.857
0xd8d5…8935#568 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5,92879c+$1,616.9357
0x0b57…5975#809 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$53053c+$47056
0x28ca…5d19#967 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3046c-$29.7755
0x7726…4aee#983 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4,14655c+$3,327.4955
0x132f…7cdc#1,339 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1369c+$5.6455
0x1c62…ca89#1,570 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1839c-$1854
0xe341…e9eb#1,867 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,09968c+$980.2454
0x7dcf…a7bd#2,351 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2541c-$24.753
0x4d02…2ad3#4,939 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$17373c+$63.9952
0x8373…f0bc#13,832 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,12137c-$1,120.6651
0xe040…824f#16,299 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4339c-$42.8850
0xc3cd…816c#17,579 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,38644c-$1,386.1950
0xae2a…384d#20,381 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1516c-$14.7649
0x9d0d…2e6d#23,297 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$36436c-$363.8149
0xd9fe…db0d#25,059 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$18935c-$189.3348
0xa169…1b73#26,660 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7768c+$36.948
0x1387…55f8#26,883 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,07022c-$1,069.9648
0x7248…7e72#27,852 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$10333c-$102.9547
0xeed8…35f0#29,270 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3,92035c-$3,919.9647
0x27b5…9650#29,321 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$20068c+$94.1246
0xa917…4e8d#31,021 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$14439c-$144.343
0x17b8…d5d1#31,138 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1449c-$144.142

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 3 wallets, $1,950 · No: 33 wallets, $47,333 33 of 36 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of US Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of US Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#4 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3673c+$13.771
0xf26c…d5c5#13 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3060c+$2068
0xf440…b009#25 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,98555c+$4,056.2765
0x98d0…f14a#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,64768c+$792.5965
0x4be5…c1b3#45 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2,54064c+$1,459.9964
0xa43d…00f4#46 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$20551c+$196.9464
0x40c2…b2fc#54 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1470c+$664
0x6706…2341#64 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1552c+$13.8563
0x23d8…0288#137 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,10041c-$1,100.1261
0x9dd9…08bd#166 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3535c+$64.5261
0x83c5…e193#186 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$30064c+$169.8560
0x2213…492c#231 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6958c+$50.1960
0x7e35…1a6c#435 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$53364c+$306.5958
0x1c14…0869#438 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,77547c+$4,328.3958
0x2d6c…e3f5#749 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3559c+$24.7756
0x98ac…40d9#791 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3549c+$35.9556
0xb06c…b574#2,438 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5268c+$24.9653
Top 51 to 200
0xe3f2…e1c1#40 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4,22958c+$3,048.365
0xa667…ceb3#211 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$89066c+$463.460
0x60a9…5a71#253 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,05371c+$1,24759
0x414b…0d3f#270 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6,34063c+$3,659.8859
0xf9b5…1212#490 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2465c+$13.3657
0x3690…e16f#1,133 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8,43372c+$3,228.5155
0x1e42…0520#1,538 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1962c+$11.5854
0x7dcf…a7bd#2,351 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3056c+$23.7153
0x67a8…7493#2,511 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1052c+$9.653
0x8373…f0bc#13,832 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,87262c+$1,150.8851
0xa278…3369No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$2,23372c+$847.7850
0xe040…824f#16,299 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8562c+$52.3450
0xc3cd…816c#17,579 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,12357c+$850.5450
0x52fa…8692#22,169 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2042c-$2049
0x9d0d…2e6d#23,297 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$65664c+$363.8149
0xd9fe…db0d#25,059 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$28267c+$139.3248
0x7248…7e72#27,852 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$22070c+$92.3647
0xeed8…35f0#29,270 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,52666c+$1,790.5347
0x17b8…d5d1#31,138 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$82921c-$829.3942

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 2 wallets, $61 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 2 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of US Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of US Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xbea0…e19dNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$1010c-$10.251
Top 51 to 200
0x38d8…ea7c#1,581 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5120c-$50.7954

1 other settled market of this event is not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on it.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.