Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483260d2889112fa6da4b35f1312ca9a5ef5143d505fcaf82cae3d9e68bea66d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdadb…1870backed Yes | 26c | 1,283$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.58 | 589 | 22.8%134 W · 455 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,045$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 27c | 723.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.89 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 559$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 541.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad1…7cf9backed Yes | 65c | 410.42$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 377.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 74c | 350$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 326.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 72c | 324.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 73c | 319$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 304$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 49c | 289.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 256.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 73c | 255.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.26 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 33c | 236.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 220$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 218.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 17c | 207.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 204.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 186.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 173.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 22c | 170.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 61c | 164.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 163.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 41c | 153.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 151.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 30c | 150.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 29c | 139.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 126.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 74c | 111$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 105.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 102.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 33c | 101.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 75c | 101.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 31c | 98.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 98.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 85.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 85.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…b4adbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 55c | 79.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…90a5backed No | 19c | 78.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 30c | 69.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 67c | 68.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 72c | 64.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 70c | 56.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 46c | 54.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 62c | 51.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 50.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 28c | 50.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…7c32backed Yes | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…b84abacked No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…04c8backed No | 69c | 42.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 42.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 60c | 39.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 30c | 36.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 74c | 34.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed Yes | 75c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 30.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…18a2backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 29.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…6041backed No | 69c | 28.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 71c | 28.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 66c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 73c | 24.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 20.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…63b6backed Yes | 65c | 18.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 69c | 17.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 70c | 16.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.