Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x600f7f32ca4afce31c4bf686562e48a8127e06409847ea559a580fb9db98033a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 10,851$5,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.8 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.92 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,877$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.54 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 51c | 2,365$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 55c | 2,057$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.51 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 1,299$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,275$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.13 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 51c | 1,105$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 52c | 966.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 37c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 680.77$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 549.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 59c | 474.74$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 31c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 51c | 365.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 342.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 299.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 282.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 278.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 269.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 37c | 254$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 250$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 241.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 40c | 225.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 67c | 206.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 202$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 175.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 65c | 169.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 168$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 97.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 90.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 84.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 51c | 76.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 29c | 72.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 25c | 70.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 49.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 31c | 45.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 44.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 37c | 43.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 51c | 39.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 41c | 39.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 33.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 32.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 58c | 31.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 58c | 31.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 76c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5this page
- New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.