Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iran before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e2de7aa9d97d3c1fa818321dcba2ead3a44c42a94f29df4b008d1cddb6fa46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 12c | 4,929$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.25 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 33c | 4,327$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.82 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…6634backed Yes | 67c | 3,832$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…757fbacked Yes | 64c | 3,356$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,972$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.8 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 66c | 2,952$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,831$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…3103backed No | 37c | 1,799$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 30c | 1,628$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.29 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 11c | 1,401$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 29c | 1,343$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 3c | 1,341$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed No | 28c | 1,099$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 70c | 1,065$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 70c | 933.47$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 29c | 799.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1397…960abacked No | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 75c | 727.58$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 68c | 680.43$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…948abacked No | 31c | 641.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 28c | 638$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a53…7f24backed Yes | 68c | 590.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked No | 31c | 555.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…d58fbacked Yes | 69c | 505.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…afc9backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 74c | 489.43$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…d6c3backed Yes | 65c | 480.66$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 67c | 399.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 67c | 372.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 334$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 68c | 222$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 24c | 211$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 67c | 194.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 31c | 193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed No | 30c | 178.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 32c | 174.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5de…8547backed Yes | 69c | 159.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…e37cbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…e4ccbacked Yes | 68c | 144.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2f6backed Yes | 70c | 142.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed No | 29c | 130.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 31c | 120.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 34c | 111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…b168backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…9d7fbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 34c | 88.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…2e4bbacked Yes | 70c | 85.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 20c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Yes | 71c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 75.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…289cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 42c | 62.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…f409backed Yes | 63c | 58.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +219.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…614abacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4b…cac2backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 24c | 47.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 38c | 46.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…9070backed No | 35c | 45.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…61f0backed No | 32c | 43.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…6ab2backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…8bcfbacked Yes | 67c | 35.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…3430backed Yes | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…b3a2backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…4430backed Yes | 64c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 69c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.