TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under50c22,000$10,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0213946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c10,615$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.961,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c9,819$4,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,890.034,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf499…b5d9backed Under50c9,200$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c5,464$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7326,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c4,207$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.174,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under54c4,106$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.6873650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c4,005$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.513,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c4,000$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over47c4,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over50c3,101$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.6579247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over51c2,884$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.6179555.6%442 W · 353 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c2,448$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.8811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under55c2,016$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.0239953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under55c2,016$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.0239051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over45c2,008$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.6347745.7%218 W · 259 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over45c2,000$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.9687850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over46c1,784$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2264752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70545451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over48c1,343$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.672,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c1,333$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.161,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over47c1,200$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56357053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over51c1,167$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9248150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under49c1,024$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.4936648.9%179 W · 187 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c1,024$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under55c965.21$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.342,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over51c952.29$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.671,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under54c918.18$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.361,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29429153.6%156 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29428452.5%149 W · 135 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Over51c571.37$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.412051.7%62 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under67c491.65$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.813,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c439.23$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8710,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over52c436.05$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.751,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c394.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.316,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c368.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.42,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over50c294.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.421,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under51c290.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1649551.9%257 W · 238 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under51c289.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7548851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over51c280$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6847552%247 W · 228 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over51c268.37$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8741048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under54c231.79$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.279,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c220.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under50c220$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11144845.8%205 W · 243 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x411e…ebf0backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Over46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9128245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under51c176.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4746152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over46c166.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4919248.4%93 W · 99 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over49c162.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.611,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under49c162$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0274143.5%322 W · 419 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4410744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.599947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.523548.9%115 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under50c148.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3927253.7%146 W · 126 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over46c146.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.241346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over49c138$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6254642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Over51c133.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.085552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over51c133.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under55c133$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8575453.2%401 W · 353 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Under55c131.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.88,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c123$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.811,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.55,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4655146.8%258 W · 293 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4926444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Over48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b3…69aabacked Over51c99.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.964443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Over25c95.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8233352.3%174 W · 159 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c78.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.652,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under51c76.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.746255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c69.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.162,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2453238.5%205 W · 327 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over52c57.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.884257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over50c57.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6935747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd691…fcc6backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c55.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.148,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Under49c50.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.019549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under49c50.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9947752.8%252 W · 225 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.483854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Over50c48.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3910351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under53c45.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d1…9702backed Under54c40.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d6…7192backed Under50c39.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under45c39.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.818,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Over45c38.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3122949.8%114 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under49c31.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.213,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over51c29.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5550…4e4fbacked Under53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.166459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over46c25.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831354.6%171 W · 142 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.755,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under51c24.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9753655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.