Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf20cff72c753ab1677500d2c11b201441ab87033035380e3a54a8343d2c08dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,030,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,030,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 67,667$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 136 | 0.7%1 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dc…f1fabacked Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366b…68cabacked Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841e…f33abacked Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…e95cbacked Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…827fbacked Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…0171backed Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…a008backed Yes | 0c | 43,369$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…2a2abacked Yes | 0c | 42,369$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…be72backed Yes | 0c | 39,765$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…e68cbacked Yes | 0c | 39,765$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…1f64backed Yes | 0c | 38,838$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…f972backed Yes | 0c | 37,755$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4026…567abacked Yes | 0c | 37,740$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…52ddbacked Yes | 0c | 37,153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…dff7backed Yes | 0c | 37,034$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…2ca8backed Yes | 0c | 36,197$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…04d1backed Yes | 0c | 35,233$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…bf68backed Yes | 0c | 35,032$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…57acbacked Yes | 0c | 34,832$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…1d13backed Yes | 0c | 34,793$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…d28dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,668$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…a9a1backed Yes | 0c | 34,376$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…308dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…e793backed Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…87f0backed Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…908abacked Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…891cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…2273backed Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee51…19ccbacked Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…e032backed Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…15edbacked Yes | 0c | 33,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7883…a62bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,494$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…8723backed Yes | 0c | 33,402$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e7f2backed Yes | 0c | 32,736$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…9149backed Yes | 0c | 32,653$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…d27dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,653$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…833bbacked Yes | 0c | 32,653$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…29e4backed Yes | 0c | 32,536$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…5b78backed Yes | 0c | 32,509$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…9ac4backed Yes | 0c | 32,474$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a3…4062backed Yes | 0c | 32,215$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…9e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 32,177$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…2434backed Yes | 0c | 32,089$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…4984backed Yes | 0c | 31,974$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0af…847dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,897$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…52cfbacked Yes | 0c | 31,709$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…4c77backed Yes | 0c | 31,245$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…2141backed Yes | 0c | 30,913$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…eed2backed Yes | 0c | 30,727$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f6…78b6backed Yes | 0c | 30,497$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…b136backed Yes | 0c | 30,374$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…6f02backed Yes | 0c | 30,096$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2c…6b7ebacked Yes | 0c | 29,841$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…01c4backed Yes | 0c | 29,703$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…ade6backed Yes | 0c | 29,594$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…1806backed Yes | 0c | 29,527$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…eccabacked Yes | 0c | 29,485$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…8ca4backed Yes | 0c | 29,480$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…ddd5backed Yes | 0c | 29,414$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…8c58backed Yes | 0c | 29,091$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…e7b0backed Yes | 0c | 28,653$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd61…6a37backed Yes | 0c | 28,633$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…d64fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,391$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…049bbacked Yes | 0c | 28,217$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…a072backed Yes | 0c | 28,145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…beacbacked Yes | 0c | 28,053$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…a250backed Yes | 0c | 27,874$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…752bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,873$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…0303backed Yes | 0c | 27,653$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…a3cfbacked Yes | 0c | 27,653$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…16abbacked Yes | 0c | 27,653$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7c41backed Yes | 0c | 27,653$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2e14backed Yes | 0c | 27,653$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…f846backed Yes | 0c | 27,278$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…7decbacked Yes | 0c | 27,157$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…8001backed Yes | 0c | 27,115$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…ebffbacked Yes | 0c | 26,649$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb0…e955backed Yes | 0c | 24,867$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7bb0backed Yes | 0c | 21,766$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…e847backed Yes | 0c | 13,018$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…2adabacked Yes | 0c | 13,018$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8880…5146backed Yes | 0c | 12,995$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…7751backed Yes | 0c | 12,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…4ad8backed Yes | 0c | 12,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b7…f3cebacked Yes | 0c | 12,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…6629backed Yes | 0c | 12,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…ba18backed Yes | 0c | 12,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…cd0dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,018$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…5ab9backed Yes | 0c | 12,018$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…6548backed Yes | 0c | 12,018$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…3204backed Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…754abacked Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…088bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4815backed Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15f…76b8backed Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…ec1cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a9…3a5bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…29b5backed Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…e101backed Yes | 0c | 11,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.