TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tatjana Mariaof Tatjana Maria, Yuriko Miyazaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef29…2f1ebacked Yuriko Miyazaki3c10,656$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.041,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yuriko Miyazaki16c4,297$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.51,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yuriko Miyazaki40c3,200$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.536,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yuriko Miyazaki16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yuriko Miyazaki20c2,617$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9430226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Yuriko Miyazaki25c2,413$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.581,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yuriko Miyazaki24c2,352$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6332031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yuriko Miyazaki33c1,986$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.224,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tatjana Maria63c1,933$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yuriko Miyazaki16c1,902$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3285348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yuriko Miyazaki16c1,902$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3265952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Yuriko Miyazaki8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Tatjana Maria79c1,401$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.32962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tatjana Maria75c1,103$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.438,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Yuriko Miyazaki1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yuriko Miyazaki18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Yuriko Miyazaki28c941.59$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.32,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Yuriko Miyazaki34c891.51$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.961,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5efd…a583backed Yuriko Miyazaki16c829.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.671275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yuriko Miyazaki22c770.64$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.312,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yuriko Miyazaki17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yuriko Miyazaki10c642.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5752854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Yuriko Miyazaki8c614.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8542125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Yuriko Miyazaki13c537.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yuriko Miyazaki12c510$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yuriko Miyazaki40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Yuriko Miyazaki21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.882,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yuriko Miyazaki42c475.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.774,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e07…a3f9backed Yuriko Miyazaki17c474.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.682236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Yuriko Miyazaki17c415.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8252910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Yuriko Miyazaki26c386.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007338.4%28 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yuriko Miyazaki16c346.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.391,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Yuriko Miyazaki22c336.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7539254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tatjana Maria78c306$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.387,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tatjana Maria76c303.26$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.515,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yuriko Miyazaki14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4226921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yuriko Miyazaki17c299.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yuriko Miyazaki20c268.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.535,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Tatjana Maria80c246.91$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.381,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Yuriko Miyazaki16c242.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.723554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yuriko Miyazaki19c230.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.083,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yuriko Miyazaki15c222.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3448242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d4…139dbacked Tatjana Maria62c184.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tatjana Maria72c178.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5047854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yuriko Miyazaki40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Yuriko Miyazaki18c153.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tatjana Maria77c145$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.884,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Tatjana Maria77c141.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.356,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Yuriko Miyazaki37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013944.6%62 W · 77 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Tatjana Maria80c133.2$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.641,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Yuriko Miyazaki40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Yuriko Miyazaki40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Yuriko Miyazaki8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Yuriko Miyazaki43c115$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yuriko Miyazaki24c110.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yuriko Miyazaki37c110.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2029…49a3backed Yuriko Miyazaki23c110.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-27.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Yuriko Miyazaki14c109.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yuriko Miyazaki23c99.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9191755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Tatjana Maria77c97.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.471,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yuriko Miyazaki50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb772…ed49backed Yuriko Miyazaki38c92.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yuriko Miyazaki40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Tatjana Maria53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4741544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc953…4f5dbacked Yuriko Miyazaki26c74.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yuriko Miyazaki40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Tatjana Maria78c69.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2833650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Tatjana Maria70c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.192674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Tatjana Maria78c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.593945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Tatjana Maria77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9494255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yuriko Miyazaki24c63.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.413,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Tatjana Maria61c63.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yuriko Miyazaki16c62.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Yuriko Miyazaki36c59.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Tatjana Maria70c58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2858048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yuriko Miyazaki19c52.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Tatjana Maria57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6310755.1%59 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…9eccbacked Tatjana Maria67c51.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.888655.8%48 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Tatjana Maria57c40.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3523551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Tatjana Maria78c36.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.051,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yuriko Miyazaki31c32.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tatjana Maria80c30.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Tatjana Maria73c27.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2125550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Yuriko Miyazaki40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff41…387abacked Yuriko Miyazaki40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tatjana Maria68c21.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Tatjana Maria78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Tatjana Maria79c19.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1925858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Tatjana Maria79c15.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.192770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Tatjana Maria76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4757447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Tatjana Maria79c13.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8731657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.