MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe251402c0f56995e87f05e0bee479e2480d8048559353c963327ec73b79b67c9

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof New York Mets, Washington Nationals
Resolved: May 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $248,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $283,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,000 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals	44c	34,091$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,090.91	983	49.8%490 W · 493 L	-18.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	56c	23,091$12,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,982	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets	56c	19,864$11,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,124	505	53.5%270 W · 235 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	57c	12,833$7,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,314.76	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed New York Mets	75c	12,500$9,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,409.99	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals	43c	11,704$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,704.48	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	44c	10,506$4,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,895.71	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…31f1backed New York Mets	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals	43c	7,852$3,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,475.87	1,358	50.8%690 W · 668 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets	0c	5,200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals	26c	5,038$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,739.17	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals	45c	4,989$2,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,744.08	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals	40c	4,972$1,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,977.25	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed New York Mets	1c	4,469$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	70	10%7 W · 63 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals	74c	3,238$2,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.4	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked New York Mets	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	58c	3,000$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,724.97	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals	62c	2,632$1,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.85	1,947	53.1%1,033 W · 914 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Mets	57c	2,618$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.35	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	52c	2,222$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.89	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets	34c	2,100$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	56c	2,009$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.59	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed New York Mets	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.99	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	43c	1,927$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,094.79	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Washington Nationals	14c	1,897$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.97	335	15.5%52 W · 283 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Washington Nationals	80c	1,512$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.75	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	43c	1,458$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.98	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets	55c	1,274$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.25	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets	72c	1,185$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.56	620	43.1%267 W · 353 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets	58c	1,151$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.39	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed New York Mets	7c	1,137$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.57	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed New York Mets	56c	1,116$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	251	49.8%125 W · 126 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed New York Mets	57c	1,053$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets	31c	1,046$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.47	1,728	50.4%871 W · 857 L	+57.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	31c	1,032$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.66	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets	56c	1,005$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.8	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Washington Nationals	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.01	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	624	47.6%297 W · 327 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9702…9453backed New York Mets	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals	31c	982.61$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.7	795	55.6%442 W · 353 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals	80c	940.63$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.23	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets	53c	854.85$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.06	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets	16c	853.03$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.07	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Mets	76c	825.85$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.93	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Mets	52c	742.99$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.04	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Mets	76c	696.64$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.57	503	37.2%187 W · 316 L	-42.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	43c	692.86$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.93	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fd…af0dbacked New York Mets	32c	684.2$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.52	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	38c	605.26$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.39	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets	60c	583$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.17	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets	30c	570.41$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Mets	60c	554.16$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.5	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	65c	549.85$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.41	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed New York Mets	57c	545.17$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.75	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	43c	543.73$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.81	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked New York Mets	27c	525.91$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.41	124	46%57 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed New York Mets	58c	520$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	269	48.7%131 W · 138 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets	43c	485.45$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.31	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals	59c	479.67$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.88	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals	42c	474.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.74	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Washington Nationals	46c	461.79$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.12	205	39.5%81 W · 124 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals	44c	450$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.5	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Washington Nationals	44c	407.55$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.23	1,055	50.3%531 W · 524 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals	16c	405$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.2	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals	32c	400.08$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.38	1,139	42.7%486 W · 653 L	+11.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed New York Mets	57c	367.68$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.58	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	947	34.4%326 W · 621 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed New York Mets	32c	342.86$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Washington Nationals	44c	340.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.55	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked New York Mets	58c	326.15$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.17	277	51.3%142 W · 135 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Washington Nationals	45c	322$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.1	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Washington Nationals	18c	319.33$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.44	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Washington Nationals	44c	300$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	354	49.2%174 W · 180 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	381	45.4%173 W · 208 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals	42c	286.83$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.21	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed New York Mets	53c	284.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	133	54.9%73 W · 60 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals	9c	267.17$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.43	508	60.2%306 W · 202 L	+29.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets	56c	260$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.47	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals	38c	250$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.13	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed New York Mets	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Washington Nationals	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	322	66.5%214 W · 108 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets	50c	212.85$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.73	869	48.4%421 W · 448 L	+10.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals	44c	210$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.6	415	49.2%204 W · 211 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	3,303	46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L	+22.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	1,418	43.4%616 W · 802 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Mets	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	231	52.8%122 W · 109 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f5…44f2backed New York Mets	29c	195.66$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.74	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd633…8c3fbacked New York Mets	56c	194.64$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…17cebacked New York Mets	57c	194.54$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed New York Mets	55c	194.19$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.01	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Washington Nationals	68c	194.15$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.07	332	74.1%246 W · 86 L	+28.8wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dac…11bfbacked Washington Nationals	44c	192.32$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets	75c	191.19$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.74	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…92bbbacked New York Mets	58c	189.66$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals	33c	189$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.63	790	49.2%389 W · 401 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed New York Mets	6c	187.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Mets	57c	176$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.03	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Washington Nationals	44c	173$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.49	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 16.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event