TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No73c94,593$69,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,340.553522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes27c51,081$13,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,633.952326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c24,105$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,274.751,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c11,166$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.224,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No55c10,993$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,955.463030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No80c10,659$8,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.3467839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c9,995$7,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.171,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes45c9,954$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.3710443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No74c7,540$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.3533531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes27c5,427$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.395761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c3,854$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.9348338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9622744.5%101 W · 126 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No59c3,677$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.3724259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c2,472$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.722,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c2,282$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8210360.2%62 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa74f…acb2backed Yes21c1,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No76c1,722$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.351540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No80c1,557$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.632748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c1,147$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.864732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No38c1,089$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.432334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No74c1,078$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3519847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c1,049$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0289139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes26c998.17$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5252152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c994.22$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5574949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c940.91$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5356538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No60c861.53$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.013644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes23c829.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.461942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes27c793$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4120942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes28c764.15$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.911442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c760$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.211533.9%39 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes27c730$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.14535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c680.19$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.131,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No46c649.94$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.864854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No39c623.4$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.211540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No77c613.73$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.118046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b97…4500backed No74c601.35$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c566.52$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6380950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes26c557.69$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No75c547.64$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.916051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Yes55c529.94$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No58c512.57$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.320055.5%111 W · 89 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c494.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3672455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes20c476.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2320225.2%51 W · 151 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed Yes54c468.21$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes22c463.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick26cpaid-89.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4115862%98 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007324.7%18 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10411859.3%70 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007323.3%17 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes25c368$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211234.8%39 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes19c358.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9738144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No37c345.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.426744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…f79dbacked Yes21c340$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c329.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.911,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes23c268.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0918661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes56c242.66$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.749957.6%57 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No79c234.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5bc…c93dbacked No74c228$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.283100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c207.5$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.579348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes19c201.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3147740.9%195 W · 282 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked No78c197.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes26c193$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.184057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes22c191.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.14431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…a1c0backed Yes26c191.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c183$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4151048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No43c179.84$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes22c179.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.075335.8%19 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852e…e616backed Yes26c176.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed No80c163.66$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked No80c156$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes19c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.911840.7%48 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No53c148$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6511037.3%41 W · 69 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes25c141.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510751.4%55 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No41c140$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.427441.2%113 W · 161 L+15.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes24c139$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9212854.7%70 W · 58 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes36c138.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0924540%98 W · 147 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes30c135.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9611845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes32c131$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6320446.1%94 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c129.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0512853.1%68 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes61c126.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.911957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No80c125.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.325653.6%30 W · 26 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No41c118.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.754250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.