Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0adb8d8c5b873aa96093dca5c7c2a53bac01e3e68186c34b36dde53f9501b7c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 40c | 868.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.61 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 37c | 541.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 522.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 486.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 41c | 426$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.34 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 321.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 255.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked No | 64c | 203.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 195$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 37c | 193.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 65c | 191.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 188$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 39c | 167.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 161.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 145.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 141.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 41c | 129.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 40c | 123.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 46c | 122.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 44c | 121.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 121.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 113.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 110.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 101.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 36c | 94.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 93.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 36c | 88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…02a8backed No | 16c | 86.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 39c | 78.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 36c | 72.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 40c | 72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 35c | 69.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 66.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 33c | 64.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 61.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 38c | 58.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 77c | 58.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 65c | 54.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 52.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 51.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed No | 59c | 51.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 64c | 50.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 50.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…8d7ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 64c | 44.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 37c | 41.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 62c | 39.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 38.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…4db6backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…5401backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…68afbacked Yes | 39c | 34.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 32.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 44c | 32.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa53…02a8backed No | 63c | 29.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…f092backed Yes | 38c | 29.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked Yes | 39c | 27.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 40c | 27.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…4698backed Yes | 54c | 27.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 52c | 25.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 66c | 24.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…bfd3backed No | 62c | 24.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 49c | 22.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…52e2backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259f…3294backed No | 63c | 18.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…a8b7backed Yes | 79c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.