MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f7a4f6b8cf81878aae8614a47f1c52431faa20bd300dcb897a12fc9c258ae2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 34,591$17,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,689.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 20,124$9,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,371.31 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 10,646$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.66 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 10,459$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.5 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 9,935$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.02 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 9,194$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.2 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 9,034$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.46 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 5,694$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.45 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 5,194$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,765$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.89 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,949$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.66 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.81 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,999$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.44 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 2,850$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,492$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.35 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 2,396$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,183$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.11 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,155$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.44 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,010$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,936$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.38 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,590$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.63 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 1,511$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,409$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.13 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,367$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.77 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,234$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.36 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,025$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.61 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,023$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.28 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,000$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.79 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 999.98$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 993.17$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.17 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 780$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 737.61$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 646.65$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.66 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 632.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 555.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…9a6ebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 495.54$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 468.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 450.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 433$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…3a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 428.32$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 406.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 388.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 350.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 331.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 213 | 46%98 W · 115 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 321.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 317.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 276.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 275.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 215.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 204.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 201.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 188.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…ac3ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 174.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 164.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 163.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 153.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 148.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 147.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 142.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 136.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 134$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 246 | 50.4%124 W · 122 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 133$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…47b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 65.5%146 W · 77 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 62.1%141 W · 86 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.