TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Kenta Miyoshi vs Roger Pascual Ferra

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kenta Miyoshiof Kenta Miyoshi, Roger Pascual Ferra
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Roger Pascual Ferra51c7,685$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.078,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Kenta Miyoshi74c4,498$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.1318261.5%112 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Kenta Miyoshi55c3,595$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.541,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Roger Pascual Ferra34c3,429$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.53,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Roger Pascual Ferra45c2,145$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.962,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Roger Pascual Ferra46c1,879$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Kenta Miyoshi32c1,663$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.014,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kenta Miyoshi32c1,506$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.758,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Roger Pascual Ferra18c1,392$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.484,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Kenta Miyoshi35c1,300$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.532637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra19c1,137$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.464,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Roger Pascual Ferra41c800.32$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6670254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Roger Pascual Ferra28c799.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4278838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Roger Pascual Ferra46c717.94$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.784,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Kenta Miyoshi70c711.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.243,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Kenta Miyoshi7c642.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5458931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Roger Pascual Ferra44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Kenta Miyoshi37c588.6$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9736946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Roger Pascual Ferra27c574.34$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.771,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Roger Pascual Ferra39c567.12$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.751,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kenta Miyoshi22c533.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.259,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Roger Pascual Ferra45c461.84$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8339135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Roger Pascual Ferra22c380.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6463746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Kenta Miyoshi37c351.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.655435.2%19 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra10c325.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1262140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Roger Pascual Ferra11c301$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4512446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Roger Pascual Ferra25c291$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.041,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Roger Pascual Ferra13c289.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.775749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Kenta Miyoshi38c281.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7343347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Kenta Miyoshi15c279.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2424231%75 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Kenta Miyoshi5c237$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3297141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Kenta Miyoshi60c226.05$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9887741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Roger Pascual Ferra46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.866031.7%19 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Kenta Miyoshi65c216.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.641,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Kenta Miyoshi72c214.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7415742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kenta Miyoshi68c209.53$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.826,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Roger Pascual Ferra74c202.45$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.231,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Roger Pascual Ferra48c202.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.051,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra33c195.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.385,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Kenta Miyoshi65c190.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.861,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Roger Pascual Ferra27c168.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.343,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Roger Pascual Ferra27c168.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.343,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Kenta Miyoshi30c167.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2536342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1840…fbd1backed Kenta Miyoshi9c150$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1364520%9 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2471…4523backed Kenta Miyoshi13c141.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7213527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Kenta Miyoshi26c140.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4812441.1%51 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Roger Pascual Ferra55c139.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Kenta Miyoshi16c139$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7638459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Roger Pascual Ferra27c136.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.662,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Kenta Miyoshi13c130$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.820039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Kenta Miyoshi61c127.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8942546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Roger Pascual Ferra22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1111141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29fd…9962backed Roger Pascual Ferra9c121.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Kenta Miyoshi57c121$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7569545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Kenta Miyoshi43c115.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9144751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f1…28d4backed Kenta Miyoshi76c104.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa69…ff71backed Roger Pascual Ferra49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.989165.9%60 W · 31 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kenta Miyoshi57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.553043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Roger Pascual Ferra30c99.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.135,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Roger Pascual Ferra13c94.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6517152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Kenta Miyoshi58c92.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kenta Miyoshi62c85.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.554,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Kenta Miyoshi28c83.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1244729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Kenta Miyoshi49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0233754%182 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Roger Pascual Ferra28c76.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.826,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Kenta Miyoshi38c74.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8531948.9%156 W · 163 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Kenta Miyoshi70c74.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5319041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f4…82ebbacked Kenta Miyoshi64c72.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.778140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed Roger Pascual Ferra70c66.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.475349.1%26 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Kenta Miyoshi75c66.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2920939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Roger Pascual Ferra70c65.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.081,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Kenta Miyoshi76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7994058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Kenta Miyoshi33c64.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1835357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Kenta Miyoshi39c52.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.062,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kenta Miyoshi70c51.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Kenta Miyoshi54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Kenta Miyoshi56c49.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.833,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Kenta Miyoshi64c48.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3517662.5%110 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Roger Pascual Ferra44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6827744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Roger Pascual Ferra55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.522,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Kenta Miyoshi70c37.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.123256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Kenta Miyoshi68c37.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0148947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Roger Pascual Ferra42c36.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Kenta Miyoshi38c32.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1844138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Kenta Miyoshi72c31.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.744758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59fd…2c1dbacked Kenta Miyoshi79c30.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.334252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kenta Miyoshi64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.897,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Roger Pascual Ferra44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210437.5%39 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Roger Pascual Ferra44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2511056.4%62 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Kenta Miyoshi37c27.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2531842.5%135 W · 183 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Kenta Miyoshi70c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5226868.3%183 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kenta Miyoshi64c24.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.986,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Roger Pascual Ferra49c24.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9178957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Kenta Miyoshi55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.942563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Roger Pascual Ferra70c19.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Kenta Miyoshi70c19.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8625951.7%134 W · 125 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.