MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe562ff40ee889c0df0684940bc8df6c9c097314329a705648d9c64a5f2424d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 24,635$13,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,740.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 12,042$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.13 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 8,700$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 7,220$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 6,613$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 6,219$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 5,870$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.6 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 5,594$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 4,461$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 55c | 3,423$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.65 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 65c | 3,095$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.82 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 2,821$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Under | 56c | 2,393$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 2,306$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.97 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 45c | 2,201$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.59 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 16c | 2,165$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 2,160$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 2,048$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Over | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.77 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 1,365$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 54c | 1,360$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,122$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 45c | 1,059$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.45 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 45c | 959$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.45 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 45c | 897$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 853.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.81 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 808.18$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 45c | 778$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 662.24$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 603$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 555.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 45c | 471.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 44c | 471.1$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Under | 55c | 426.31$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 350.22$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 350$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 44c | 336.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 45c | 335.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 45c | 333.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 24c | 320.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 56c | 307$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 44c | 301.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 56c | 255.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 244.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 44c | 226.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 44c | 224.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 44c | 187$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 56c | 171.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 44c | 169.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Over | 43c | 138.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 105.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 45c | 92.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 91.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 45c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 44c | 68.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 45c | 65.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 72c | 65.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 55c | 61.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 57c | 57.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 56c | 56.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 45c | 45.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 55c | 36.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 45c | 35.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…317bbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 45c | 25.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.