TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72e0…08eebacked No4c2,236$100 inLost-$10026243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e7…b7cebacked No1c2,088$19 inLost-$1950%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes79c644.4$508 inWon+$135.967843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No20c597.24$120 inLost-$120.191,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No19c530.39$98 inLost-$98.311,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…03ccbacked No22c474.57$104 inLost-$104.336237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No13c401.03$54 inLost-$53.5677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No17c280.77$48 inLost-$48.262,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No20c189.54$38 inLost-$37.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes79c160$126 inWon+$33.622449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes79c134.04$106 inWon+$28.156734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes76c100$76 inWon+$245846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2e…58c5backed No32c100$32 inLost-$32650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No21c100$21 inLost-$212,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…4a39backed Yes68c100$68 inWon+$325632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9899…5d02backed Yes74c67.99$50 inWon+$17.683444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes80c40$32 inWon+$814557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes76c15$11 inWon+$3.614445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.