TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Timo Legout

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garrett Johnsof Garrett Johns, Timo Legout
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba2…d212backed Timo Legout1c21,995$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.871,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Garrett Johns33c8,535$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,751.498,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Timo Legout46c4,258$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.354,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Timo Legout64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9202524%6 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Timo Legout75c2,689$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.662,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Timo Legout67c2,539$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.9349252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Timo Legout78c2,492$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.784,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Garrett Johns29c2,417$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.414,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Garrett Johns30c2,098$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.296,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Timo Legout76c2,045$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.333,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Timo Legout78c1,837$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.96,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Garrett Johns33c1,415$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.494,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Timo Legout44c1,378$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.441,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Garrett Johns50c1,367$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5688358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Timo Legout74c1,196$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.289,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Garrett Johns35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.8648331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Garrett Johns33c1,118$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.916,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Garrett Johns36c946.57$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.458,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Garrett Johns10c758.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.889232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Garrett Johns30c673.53$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.431,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Timo Legout70c647.35$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Timo Legout2c644.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Timo Legout71c554.91$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.970254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Garrett Johns28c510.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7644729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Garrett Johns38c497.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3839157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Garrett Johns42c478.93$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.051,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Garrett Johns36c476$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6438459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Timo Legout67c473.63$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.351,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Garrett Johns34c457.29$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8117942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Garrett Johns20c454.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.11,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Garrett Johns25c448.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.851,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Garrett Johns36c447$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0831164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Timo Legout5c435.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.258931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Garrett Johns31c405.94$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.921,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Garrett Johns75c405.41$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0691051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Garrett Johns36c401$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6444758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Timo Legout73c376.04$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.044,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Garrett Johns28c371.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7378838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1786…0979backed Timo Legout69c356$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Timo Legout70c324.49$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timo Legout78c324$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.727,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Timo Legout78c315.42$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Garrett Johns38c308.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5123738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Timo Legout67c300$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9196755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Garrett Johns36c263.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5452355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Garrett Johns36c263$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3251457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Garrett Johns9c263$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3311618.1%21 W · 95 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8824…9c22backed Timo Legout75c261.33$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Garrett Johns36c259.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3536954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timo Legout70c249.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Timo Legout47c249.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.231,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Garrett Johns36c237$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6824851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca0…4b69backed Garrett Johns31c232.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.587943%34 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Garrett Johns33c219.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.311,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Timo Legout57c218$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2611748.7%57 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Garrett Johns38c207.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7315742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Timo Legout29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Timo Legout77c162.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Garrett Johns33c158.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.153,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Garrett Johns33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.558048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Timo Legout67c146.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9314547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Timo Legout67c109.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8911949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Garrett Johns50c103.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Timo Legout67c103.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.163253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d32…25a8backed Timo Legout72c103$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.138267.1%55 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Timo Legout70c102.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.976,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Timo Legout69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d0…2a3abacked Timo Legout49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2616437.8%62 W · 102 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Timo Legout30c99.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.978857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Garrett Johns24c95.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7548947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Garrett Johns34c94.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7169545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Timo Legout68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.281255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Garrett Johns37c88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6611141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Garrett Johns37c83.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.74736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Garrett Johns34c77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.822429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Timo Legout79c72.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.342,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Garrett Johns28c70.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2197141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Timo Legout29c66.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Timo Legout64c61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Garrett Johns36c52.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.432952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Garrett Johns36c50.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5119041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Garrett Johns34c48.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.333,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Timo Legout78c45.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.522,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Garrett Johns27c42.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2129945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Garrett Johns26c42.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5212441.1%51 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4207…fe8abacked Timo Legout67c40.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94949%24 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Timo Legout70c39.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.391,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Garrett Johns27c39.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Timo Legout67c38.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.555,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Garrett Johns27c37.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.455,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Timo Legout68c32.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.422,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Timo Legout73c31.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.231,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Timo Legout67c30.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4189859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Timo Legout74c30.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3334864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Timo Legout64c29.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7135164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Timo Legout68c28.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3242563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Timo Legout64c27.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6858665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be2…e4c7backed Timo Legout67c26.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Timo Legout64c26.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Timo Legout71c22.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7221147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.