Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20b8243df494b32d201f3e039de62b2f82fefcca6b7be15b0ee9d6fee2e9b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Sakamotoof Kei Nishikori, Rei Sakamoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Kei Nishikori | 20c | 19,048$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.52 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Rei Sakamoto | 61c | 15,941$9,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.73 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 9,672$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.61 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Rei Sakamoto | 53c | 9,042$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.14 | 266 | 44.4%118 W · 148 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 8,416$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.58 | 386 | 47.4%183 W · 203 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Rei Sakamoto | 77c | 5,787$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.79 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 4,975$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.39 | 4,098 | 39.8%1,631 W · 2,467 L | +95.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kei Nishikori | 16c | 4,376$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.8 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 3,847$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.37 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Kei Nishikori | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,150 | 45.4%522 W · 628 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Kei Nishikori | 25c | 3,820$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.97 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Kei Nishikori | 1c | 3,723$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,210 | 7.9%96 W · 1,114 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kei Nishikori | 39c | 3,615$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.63 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rei Sakamoto | 76c | 3,548$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.53 | 1,250 | 46.2%578 W · 672 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 3,200$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 336 | 35.4%119 W · 217 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 2,699$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 384 | 43.8%168 W · 216 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Kei Nishikori | 44c | 2,666$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.08 | 347 | 37.8%131 W · 216 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Kei Nishikori | 40c | 2,653$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.87 | 1,793 | 49.4%885 W · 908 L | +62.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 2,487$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.69 | 435 | 41.8%182 W · 253 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Kei Nishikori | 5c | 2,312$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 989 | 7.9%78 W · 911 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Rei Sakamoto | 79c | 2,298$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 1,852 | 46.6%863 W · 989 L | +19.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kei Nishikori | 40c | 2,000$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.98 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 58c | 1,917$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.14 | 648 | 51.9%336 W · 312 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 1,867$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.33 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kei Nishikori | 42c | 1,823$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.65 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +38.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rei Sakamoto | 77c | 1,644$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kei Nishikori | 42c | 1,613$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.59 | 392 | 35.5%139 W · 253 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…936dbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 1,547$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Kei Nishikori | 43c | 1,389$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 293 | 62.8%184 W · 109 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 1,388$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.07 | 2,581 | 38.7%999 W · 1,582 L | +100.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Rei Sakamoto | 60c | 1,365$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.86 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Kei Nishikori | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 794 | 40.7%323 W · 471 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Kei Nishikori | 45c | 1,262$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 1,295 | 56.6%733 W · 562 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kei Nishikori | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.33 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Kei Nishikori | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 371 | 53.6%199 W · 172 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 970$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 1,447 | 42.8%620 W · 827 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 968.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 548 | 47.8%262 W · 286 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…1531backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 894.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Kei Nishikori | 6c | 849.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Kei Nishikori | 32c | 819.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 721.56$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 1,733 | 48.4%839 W · 894 L | +40.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kei Nishikori | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 921 | 49.8%459 W · 462 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…10f0backed Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 657.88$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Rei Sakamoto | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 648$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 2,255 | 37.1%836 W · 1,419 L | +43.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 614.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 336 | 36.9%124 W · 212 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Kei Nishikori | 41c | 590$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Kei Nishikori | 14c | 515.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…1703backed Kei Nishikori | 19c | 505$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…9bf6backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Kei Nishikori | 20c | 484.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 333 | 48%160 W · 173 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 455 | 42.6%194 W · 261 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Kei Nishikori | 9c | 454.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 387 | 31.3%121 W · 266 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…78a1backed Rei Sakamoto | 55c | 449.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Kei Nishikori | 43c | 437.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 394 | 52%205 W · 189 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Rei Sakamoto | 58c | 406.52$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 389.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 460 | 64.3%296 W · 164 L | +24.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kei Nishikori | 34c | 367.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 349.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Rei Sakamoto | 58c | 347.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kei Nishikori | 12c | 342.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 995 | 51.6%513 W · 482 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kei Nishikori | 39c | 326.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 322.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 318.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 2,925 | 39.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L | -85.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 311.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 1,599 | 42.3%676 W · 923 L | +19.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…7f47backed Kei Nishikori | 21c | 276.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 617 | 46.2%285 W · 332 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 256.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Kei Nishikori | 13c | 252.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Kei Nishikori | 43c | 239.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kei Nishikori | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Kei Nishikori | 39c | 222.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 341 | 34.6%118 W · 223 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 48c | 214.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Kei Nishikori | 44c | 212.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Kei Nishikori | 19c | 206$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Kei Nishikori | 20c | 205.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kei Nishikori | 8c | 200.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 459 | 48.8%224 W · 235 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Rei Sakamoto | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…675fbacked Kei Nishikori | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kei Nishikori | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 184.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rei Sakamoto | 66c | 178.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 4,647 | 67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L | +308.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…b534backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 173.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Rei Sakamoto | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 166.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 154 | 39%60 W · 94 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…f131backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 164$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Rei Sakamoto | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…f6d8backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 163.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Kei Nishikori | 19c | 152.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 559 | 46.3%259 W · 300 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 320 | 49.7%159 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamotothis page
- Game Spread: Sakamoto (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)Sakamoto won
- Nishikori vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Nishikori vs SakamotoSakamoto won
- Set 2 Winner: Nishikori vs SakamotoSakamoto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.