Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59686826517fb0853758104fba5c9b5b5bfd12385668a153a970f5996678bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 3,743$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 19c | 1,718$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 16c | 959.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 574.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 22c | 355.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…8a50backed Yes | 56c | 354.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 17c | 305.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…0cc9backed Yes | 22c | 282.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 248.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 236.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 24c | 229.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 210$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Yes | 22c | 209.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 26c | 195.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 195$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 36c | 190.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 166.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 162.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed Yes | 26c | 152.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…90edbacked Yes | 21c | 147.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 146.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed Yes | 25c | 133.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…a6f3backed No | 73c | 128.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 55c | 124.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 123.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 121.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Yes | 17c | 112$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 110.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 106.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 99.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 24c | 98.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 96.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 21c | 89.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 55c | 86.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 62c | 69.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 80c | 65.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 47c | 64.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 62.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 61.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 26c | 60.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…a4ccbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 23c | 59.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 78c | 58.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 25c | 57.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 27c | 55.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 35c | 52.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 73c | 51.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 20c | 49.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 48c | 48.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 49c | 45.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 44.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 55c | 35.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d0b1backed No | 73c | 32.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 77c | 31.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 51c | 30.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…0b51backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 75c | 28.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 73c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 80c | 25.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 25.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 63c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 77c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 73c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 79c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.