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MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Texas Rangers, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers24c95,343$22,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,496.51,44949.5%717 W · 732 L-3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers46c24,093$11,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,055.574,42747.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L-77.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Chicago White Sox52c20,980$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,980.43825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox80c18,621$14,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.113,13948.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L-10.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb939…da70backed Chicago White Sox54c16,040$8,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,312.123551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Texas Rangers47c15,957$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50025445.3%115 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox55c10,399$5,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.645055.1%248 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago White Sox56c9,954$5,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,395.0463443.5%276 W · 358 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox76c6,915$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.1298645%444 W · 542 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Texas Rangers36c5,605$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.9813243.2%57 W · 75 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox77c5,459$4,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.64,12057.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L+67.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers19c5,421$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7411,65352.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L+214.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox53c5,358$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.9384342.9%362 W · 481 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago White Sox57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15072053.3%384 W · 336 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox53c3,563$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.611,42048.9%694 W · 726 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Texas Rangers46c3,494$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.3728154.1%152 W · 129 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago White Sox61c3,296$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.287855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers47c3,194$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.161,69850.2%853 W · 845 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Chicago White Sox59c2,727$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.974156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc202…1623backed Texas Rangers45c2,587$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1641163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Chicago White Sox53c2,509$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.2111441.2%47 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox61c2,014$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.928,48447.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L+79.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox54c1,999$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5459452.9%314 W · 280 L+2.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf67…1db4backed Chicago White Sox54c1,796$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8261070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Texas Rangers17c1,420$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4137856.9%215 W · 163 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox78c1,353$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.089,89146.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L+40.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Texas Rangers1c1,275$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4515024.7%37 W · 113 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox53c1,273$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.27,07850.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L+1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox53c1,255$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.811,54351.1%789 W · 754 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers28c1,149$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.488,68252.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L+505.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,47851%754 W · 724 L-19.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Chicago White Sox53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47031247.8%149 W · 163 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Chicago White Sox53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.44259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Chicago White Sox54c923.69$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.29453.2%50 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers38c909.18$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4990846.5%422 W · 486 L+27.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers43c832.52$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.981,90649.3%940 W · 966 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago White Sox53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37630053.7%161 W · 139 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Chicago White Sox52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2310846.3%50 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Chicago White Sox53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.531752.7%167 W · 150 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Chicago White Sox53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.513750.4%69 W · 68 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers23c750$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.595234.3%327 W · 625 L-1.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago White Sox54c744.9$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9528847.6%137 W · 151 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Texas Rangers2c739.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6529347.4%139 W · 154 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago White Sox53c722$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3493353.9%503 W · 430 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Texas Rangers49c676.94$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33026451.1%135 W · 129 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago White Sox65c660.74$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.041,25844%553 W · 705 L-33.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Texas Rangers6c632.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2115628.8%45 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox54c613.2$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.071,69749.1%834 W · 863 L+3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Chicago White Sox53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28219148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago White Sox72c599.15$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7763347.1%298 W · 335 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Chicago White Sox59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2224354.7%133 W · 110 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Chicago White Sox59c576.61$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6113052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago White Sox77c548.91$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4353357.6%307 W · 226 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Texas Rangers27c528.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.616662.1%41 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox53c514$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.582,37249.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox52c507.76$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.735,56750.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L+25.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Chicago White Sox56c491$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.048650%43 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Rangers33c464.14$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9462846.2%290 W · 338 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Chicago White Sox53c462.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5910448.1%50 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Texas Rangers48c460.22$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3124349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Texas Rangers17c437.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.472245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Chicago White Sox53c400$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19035444.6%158 W · 196 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Texas Rangers47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1888650%43 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Texas Rangers5c387.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7822943.2%99 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Chicago White Sox53c376.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1829351.2%150 W · 143 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox75c374.22$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.562,17551.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L+54.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Chicago White Sox53c369$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.438447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed Texas Rangers48c347.92$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Chicago White Sox77c336.35$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7394456.5%533 W · 411 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Texas Rangers45c328.29$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5436451.4%187 W · 177 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Chicago White Sox53c328$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1627751.3%142 W · 135 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Chicago White Sox62c319.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.311,26758.5%741 W · 526 L+26.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Texas Rangers48c306.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14746058.9%271 W · 189 L+30.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Texas Rangers48c258.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1159743%257 W · 340 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Texas Rangers26c252.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4288348%424 W · 459 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Chicago White Sox54c244$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.241,31150.7%665 W · 646 L-6.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Texas Rangers44c215.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers33c213.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.764,20150.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L+94.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Texas Rangers30c210$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9996255.1%530 W · 432 L+30.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0926…6721backed Texas Rangers46c201.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.912231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers45c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.593,32046.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Chicago White Sox52c197$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5620651.9%107 W · 99 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…1c6dbacked Texas Rangers51c190.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.122065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Chicago White Sox71c185.85$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1917442%73 W · 101 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Chicago White Sox54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.199759.8%58 W · 39 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers21c169.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.962,07739.3%817 W · 1,260 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Chicago White Sox62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1946258%268 W · 194 L-1.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Chicago White Sox62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1960859.2%360 W · 248 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Texas Rangers7c161.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Texas Rangers38c152.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7936052.2%188 W · 172 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Chicago White Sox63c146.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.661560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Chicago White Sox50c129.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4930152.5%158 W · 143 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7626…8f35backed Texas Rangers39c129.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504650%23 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Chicago White Sox62c125.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.861,04958.4%613 W · 436 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcb…548fbacked Texas Rangers14c124.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Chicago White Sox54c123.38$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8442348.2%204 W · 219 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Texas Rangers26c116$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1638741.6%161 W · 226 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox64c112.31$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.721,53459.5%912 W · 622 L+83.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Texas Rangers38c105.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.771,16042.6%494 W · 666 L-40.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab8…c5c3backed Chicago White Sox56c101.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.835848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.