TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b55…f5ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.27
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$10.56
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.61
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.78
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.14
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.04
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$13.57
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.82
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.93
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$10.51
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.17
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
All 8 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.