TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a2…0d1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT5455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$71.78
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.28
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$75.98
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.69
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$112.81
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$13.64
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.99
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.31
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$66.1
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.3%+$8.86
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.4%+$12.52
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+46.9%+$16.98
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$24.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$24.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.