TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa008…c053

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$564
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.03
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.32
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.98
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$396
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$59.89
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$42.72
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$49.02
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$79
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$34.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$167.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$28.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.