TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc879…1bdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$189
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$441
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$180
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+212.5%+$748
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$186
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$132
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$474
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$232
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$184
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$270
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$330
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$504
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsa vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$429
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.