TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee65…4f6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: P11 Esports vs HMBLE (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked P11 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$22.89
LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked University of Mississippi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
LoL: 9z Globant vs Maze Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Maze Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
LoL: 9z Globant vs Maze Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maze Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$27.43
LoL: ⁠Hooligans vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Hooligans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$18.2
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+95.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+27.2%+$25.6
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+164.6%+$70.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 17 above $180?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$56.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+128.8%+$146.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$20.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 - 0 FC Spartak Trnava?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.