Middle East · resolved market
Another Israel military action on Yemen before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab604fe620e38aa4942d53dc67117f23ca6d714381c80c372f37b019ae17845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…f71abacked No | 20c | 4,450$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 4,073$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed No | 14c | 3,746$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 77c | 2,722$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.83 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…757fbacked Yes | 80c | 2,511$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 2c | 2,059$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 11c | 1,966$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 2c | 1,932$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 7c | 1,828$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,819$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 6c | 1,501$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,495$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 23c | 1,450$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.18 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed Yes | 78c | 1,279$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 18c | 1,248$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed No | 13c | 1,197$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 80c | 1,187$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 78c | 1,123$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 5c | 1,089$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…43fabacked No | 27c | 1,073$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 20c | 1,022$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 30c | 1,004$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 77c | 959.64$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 75c | 934.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 5c | 921.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 75c | 909.45$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 79c | 886.11$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed No | 16c | 666$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 75c | 663.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 584.49$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 3c | 461.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 22c | 399.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 15c | 359.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 11c | 341.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 289.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 286.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed No | 21c | 283.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 23c | 271.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…777bbacked No | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…df8fbacked No | 20c | 236.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 16c | 234.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 78c | 213.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 25c | 199.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 26c | 198.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…6f61backed Yes | 77c | 195.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 74c | 183.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 75c | 182.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5b…2ea9backed No | 12c | 182.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…5d9bbacked Yes | 76c | 170.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 72c | 170.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 19c | 168.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 51c | 146.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 24c | 146.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 79c | 138.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed No | 22c | 138.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…6a45backed No | 25c | 138.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…9d9cbacked No | 46c | 136.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 78c | 135.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 76c | 130.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 25c | 121.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f53…6a54backed No | 45c | 112.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…32f6backed No | 30c | 108.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe787…4790backed No | 26c | 96.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 71c | 92.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…1bb7backed No | 19c | 88.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…e891backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…d869backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 63c | 79.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…e442backed Yes | 79c | 77.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 69c | 75.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…5dd0backed No | 28c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 16c | 70.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…0f4abacked Yes | 72c | 69.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed No | 30c | 67.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…8b32backed No | 23c | 66.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…86e1backed No | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 61.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 66c | 60.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed No | 42c | 60.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 24c | 58.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 17c | 58.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 50.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…a516backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 80c | 46.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…9585backed No | 24c | 42.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8914…dd24backed No | 24c | 40.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…00bcbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…e66bbacked Yes | 78c | 39.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.